Analytics
Resolved Yes on 5 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.8%. Yes opened at 66.5% on 2 Dec 2025. Before it settled, the high was 99.8% on 5 Mar 2026 and the low 61.5% on 7 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 24 points up, to 97% on 16 Dec 2025.
42 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 6, 7:54 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 95 points · 2 Dec 2025 – 5 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Dec 2025 | 66.5% |
| 5 Mar 2026 | 99.8% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| oryn69 | No | 2.48K |
| easymoneyasd | No | 1.72K |
| canyonboy | No | 1.54K |
| pepescrypto | No | 1.15K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Paradex (https://www.paradex.trade/) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Paradex, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-paradex-launch-a-token-by
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| yesbro | No | 1.09K |
| banan2 | No | 991.5 |
| mustanggtd | No | 599.96 |
| oak | No | 570.76 |
| lilkrystall | No | 400 |
| 9s8s6h | No | 391.91 |
