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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alberta join the US? | No | 0.99 | $0.949 | $0.97 | +$0.03 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 39 | $0.988 | $38.53 | Jun 7, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 41 |
| $0.949 |
| $38.91 |
| Jun 6, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.500 | $3 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 44 | $0.984 | $43.3 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 77 | $0.560 | $43.12 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 87 | $0.270 | $23.49 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 79 | $0.270 | $21.33 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 73 | $0.480 | $35.04 | May 31, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Yes | sell | 43 | $0.049 | $2.11 | May 31, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Yes | buy | 43 | $0.051 | $2.19 | May 31, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?No | buy | 11 | $0.937 | $10.31 | May 29, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by May 31?No | buy | 45 | $0.953 | $42.89 | May 29, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.060 | $1.2 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | sell | 40 | $0.985 | $39.4 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 40 | $0.985 | $39.4 | May 28, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 45 | $0.959 | $43.16 | May 28, 2026 |
 Will Dan Trifu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No | buy | 6 | $0.974 | $5.84 | Jun 5, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum dip to $1600 in May?No | buy | 1.98 | $0.990 | $1.96 | May 22, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.91 | $0.979 | $1.87 | May 5, 2025 |
 Will Han Dong-hoon be elected the next president of South Korea?No | buy | 1.62 | $0.958 | $1.55 | Apr 21, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Pope Francis in his first 100 days?No | sell | 24 | $0.984 | $23.62 | Apr 7, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Pope Francis in his first 100 days?No | buy | 24 | $0.987 | $23.69 | Apr 7, 2025 |
 Will BSW be part of the next German government?No | sell | 24 | $0.994 | $23.86 | Apr 7, 2025 |
| Will BSW be part of the next German government?No | buy | 24 | $0.994 | $23.86 | Apr 7, 2025 |
 Will global temperature increase by between 1.27-1.31ºC in March 2025?No | sell | 24 | $0.998 | $23.95 | Apr 6, 2025 |
| Will global temperature increase by between 1.27-1.31ºC in March 2025?No | buy | 24 | $0.991 | $23.78 | Apr 6, 2025 |
 Will Solana reach $210 in April?No | buy | 24 | $0.976 | $23.42 | Apr 5, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon 1,000-1,249 Jan 6 protestors in his first 100 days?Yes | sell | 58 | $0.026 | $1.51 | Apr 3, 2025 |
 Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 22 | $0.972 | $21.38 | Apr 2, 2025 |
| Will Trump pardon 1,000-1,249 Jan 6 protestors in his first 100 days?Yes | buy | 46 | $0.027 | $1.24 | Apr 2, 2025 |
 Will Trump deport 2,000,000 or more people?No | buy | 24 | $0.979 | $23.5 | Apr 1, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet less than 300 times March 28 - April 4?No | sell | 23 | $0.997 | $22.93 | Apr 1, 2025 |