Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? | No | 4.69 | $0.780 | $3.99 | +$0.33 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 60.36 | $0.993 | $59.94 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 53.21 |
| $0.995 |
| $52.94 |
| Jun 9, 2026 |
 Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 60.48 | $0.991 | $59.94 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 53.21 | $0.996 | $53 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 60.48 | $0.992 | $60 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 60.36 | $0.994 | $60 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 159.43 | $0.990 | $157.84 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 159.43 | $0.991 | $158 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will Tyrese Maxey win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No | sell | 110.66 | $0.995 | $110.11 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Will Valérie Pécresse win the 2027 French presidential election?No | sell | 100.1 | $0.998 | $99.9 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Will Tyrese Maxey win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No | buy | 110.33 | $0.997 | $110 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Will Tyrese Maxey win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No | sell | 110 | $0.996 | $109.56 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Will Tyrese Maxey win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No | buy | 110.33 | $0.997 | $110 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Will Valérie Pécresse win the 2027 French presidential election?No | buy | 100.1 | $0.999 | $100 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase February 10-16?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase February 10-16?No | sell | 1 | $0.220 | $0.22 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase February 10-16?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 Will Newcastle United Jets FC win on 2025-12-20?No | buy | 1.56 | $0.640 | $1 | Dec 20, 2025 |
| Will Newcastle United Jets FC win on 2025-12-20?No | sell | 1 | $0.610 | $0.61 | Dec 20, 2025 |
| Will Newcastle United Jets FC win on 2025-12-20?No | buy | 1.56 | $0.640 | $1 | Dec 20, 2025 |
| Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?No | buy | 3.85 | $0.780 | $3 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?No | sell | 3 | $0.760 | $2.28 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?No | buy | 3.85 | $0.780 | $3 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 5?Down | buy | 3.23 | $0.620 | $2 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 5?Down | sell | 2 | $0.570 | $1.14 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 5?Down | buy | 3.23 | $0.620 | $2 | Nov 5, 2025 |
 Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 43.0 on October 24 2025?No | buy | 2.02 | $0.990 | $2 | Oct 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 43.0 on October 24 2025?No | sell | 2 | $0.920 | $1.84 | Oct 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 43.0 on October 24 2025?No | buy | 2.02 | $0.990 | $2 | Oct 20, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: Conspiracy EditionYes | buy | 2.04 | $0.978 | $2 | Oct 10, 2025 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: Conspiracy EditionYes | sell | 2 | $0.932 | $1.86 | Oct 10, 2025 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: Conspiracy EditionYes | buy | 2.04 | $0.978 | $2 | Oct 10, 2025 |
 Starostové (STAN) wins 10% or more of vote in Czech election?Yes | buy | 4.84 | $0.620 | $3 | Aug 29, 2025 |
| Starostové (STAN) wins 10% or more of vote in Czech election?Yes | sell | 3 | $0.590 | $1.77 | Aug 29, 2025 |
| Starostové (STAN) wins 10% or more of vote in Czech election?Yes | buy | 4.84 | $0.620 | $3 | Aug 29, 2025 |
 Will the Chicago Cubs win the NL Central Division?Yes | buy | 1.67 | $0.600 | $1 | Jul 26, 2025 |
 Chuck Schumer out as Senate Minority Leader by October 31?No | buy | 3.13 | $0.960 | $3 | Jun 27, 2025 |
| White Sox vs. Blue JaysWhite Sox | buy | 2.08 | $0.960 | $2 | Jun 20, 2025 |
 Will "A Different Man" win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 2025 Oscars?No | buy | 5.06 | $0.989 | $5 | Feb 20, 2025 |
 Jones-Aspinall date announced before February?No | buy | 5.21 | $0.960 | $5 | Jan 5, 2025 |
| Jones-Aspinall date announced before February?No | sell | 5 | $0.958 | $4.79 | Jan 5, 2025 |
| Jones-Aspinall date announced before February?No | buy | 5.21 | $0.960 | $5 | Jan 5, 2025 |
 Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2024?No | buy | 3.06 | $0.980 | $3 | Dec 26, 2024 |
 Will 'Despicable Me 4' gross most in 2024?No | sell | 796.79 | $0.998 | $795.2 | Dec 26, 2024 |
| Will 'Despicable Me 4' gross most in 2024?No | buy | 796.8 | $0.999 | $796 | Dec 20, 2024 |
 Who will win Latino men?Harris | buy | 15.85 | $0.820 | $13 | Oct 18, 2024 |
 Will 'Joker: Folie à Deux' gross less than $105m opening weekend?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.560 | $2 | Sep 10, 2024 |
| Will 'Joker: Folie à Deux' gross less than $105m opening weekend?Yes | sell | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | Sep 10, 2024 |
| Will 'Joker: Folie à Deux' gross less than $105m opening weekend?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.560 | $2 | Sep 10, 2024 |
 Will Leon Marchand (FRA) win Gold in Men's 200m Breaststroke?Yes | buy | 1.59 | $0.630 | $1 | Jul 31, 2024 |