Analytics
Resolved No on 17 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 43.5% on 10 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 10 Feb 2026 to 17 Feb 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 43.5% on 10 Feb 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 17 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 12 points up, to 22% on 13 Feb 2026. $253.8K traded over the market's life.
52 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 18, 8:26 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 10 Feb 2026 – 17 Feb 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Feb 2026 | 43.5% |
| 17 Feb 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Royal Ledger 41D9 | Yes | 4.79K |
| cooltraderonpolymarket | Yes | 2.76K |
| denidc | Yes | 1.85K |
| Thorfins | Yes | 1.43K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if MicroStrategy announces a purchase of more Bitcoin than the number specified in the title between the dates in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last date). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on announcements made within the market's designated time frame regardless of when the actual purchases were made. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MicroStrategy or Michael Saylor. For reference, MicroStrategy's reported BTC holdings can be tracked at: https://www.strategy.com/purchases
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/microstrategy-announces-1000-btc-purchase-february-10-16
| Glaring-Mapping | Yes | 1.34K |
| quoshasher | Yes | 1.33K |
| Neon Harbor 0CC6 | Yes | 1K |
| prinzlobko | Yes | 1K |
| Descriptive-Driver | Yes | 350.03 |
| syrax | Yes | 340 |
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