Latest trade
Oct 6, 2024 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 20, 4:14 PM UTC.
Analytics
optimistic has made $2.38 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 24 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2024-10-06 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 6, 2024 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 20, 4:14 PM UTC.
$14.14 median trade
Its latest 27 trades covered 23 markets; 88.9% were buys. They run from Jun 9, 2024 UTC to Oct 6, 2024 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump say "China" 10 or more times during Pennsylvania rally?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.990 | $99 | Oct 6, 2024 UTC |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2024-10-06 00:26 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-20 16:14 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
27 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-20 16:14 UTC
polymarket positions
25 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2024-10-06 00:26 UTC
Last checked just now.
Winning positions brought in $2.95 and losing ones cost $0.57 across 24 settled positions. 91.7% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $0.88 on “USA wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?” (Yes); the largest loss, $0.57 on “Will Nikki Haley win the 2024 US Presidential Election?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 6 Oct 2024. It has traded 24 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| sell |
| 72.7 |
| $0.999 |
| $72.63 |
| Oct 6, 2024 UTC |
| Will Trump say "China" 10 or more times during Pennsylvania rally?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.990 | $99 | Oct 6, 2024 UTC |
| Will Trump say "China" 10 or more times during Pennsylvania rally?Yes | buy | 14 | $0.960 | $13.44 | Oct 6, 2024 UTC |
| Will Trump say "liquid gold" 2 or more times during Pennsylvania rally?Yes | buy | 72.7 | $0.999 | $72.63 | Oct 5, 2024 UTC |
 Will Nikki Haley win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 574.76 | $0.998 | $573.61 | Oct 5, 2024 UTC |
| Will Nikki Haley win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 574.76 | $0.999 | $574.19 | Oct 5, 2024 UTC |
 Who will raise more in July?Harris | buy | 43.58 | $0.999 | $43.54 | Aug 24, 2024 UTC |
 Trump posts 20-29 times on X?Yes | buy | 43.54 | $0.990 | $43.1 | Aug 23, 2024 UTC |
 Will Kamala Harris say "Jew" during DNC speech?No | buy | 23.1 | $0.999 | $23.08 | Aug 23, 2024 UTC |
| Will Kamala Harris say "Donald" or "Trump" 5 or more times during DNC speech?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.999 | $19.98 | Aug 23, 2024 UTC |
 Speed/Kai beat hardcore Minecraft by Monday?Yes | buy | 43.06 | $0.999 | $43.02 | Aug 22, 2024 UTC |
 Will Bill Clinton say "Chelsea" at DNC speech?No | buy | 21.4 | $0.999 | $21.38 | Aug 22, 2024 UTC |
| Will Bill Clinton say "Oval Office" at DNC speech?No | buy | 9 | $0.980 | $8.82 | Aug 22, 2024 UTC |
 Trump mentioned between 50 and 59 times at DNC on day 3?No | buy | 12.61 | $0.999 | $12.6 | Aug 22, 2024 UTC |
 Will Trump tweet 9 times this week?No | buy | 14.15 | $0.999 | $14.14 | Aug 18, 2024 UTC |
 Andrew Tate flee the EU?No | buy | 13.27 | $0.998 | $13.24 | Aug 10, 2024 UTC |
 Bernie Sanders endorses Kamala as Dem Nominee?No | buy | 13.24 | $0.947 | $12.54 | Aug 6, 2024 UTC |
 Will Kanye drop Vultures 2 by Friday?No | buy | 12.54 | $0.999 | $12.53 | Aug 3, 2024 UTC |
 Will an AI win the $5 million AI Math Olympiad Prize before August?No | buy | 12.53 | $0.998 | $12.5 | Aug 1, 2024 UTC |
 Reform wins between 11% and 15% of votes?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.999 | $12.49 | Jul 6, 2024 UTC |
 Scroll airdrop by June 30?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.998 | $12.48 | Jun 29, 2024 UTC |
 Martin Shkreli and GCR bet $1m on $DJT being real?No | buy | 12.48 | $0.999 | $12.47 | Jun 22, 2024 UTC |
 LayerZero airdrop by June 30?Yes | buy | 12.49 | $0.993 | $12.4 | Jun 19, 2024 UTC |
 zkSync airdrop by June 30?Yes | buy | 12.42 | $0.993 | $12.33 | Jun 16, 2024 UTC |
 Ethereum above $3,800 on June 14?No | buy | 12.33 | $0.999 | $12.32 | Jun 14, 2024 UTC |
 Did Biden shit his pants?No | buy | 101.42 | $0.997 | $101.12 | Jun 9, 2024 UTC |
1 of 3 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.