Analytics
Resolved Yes on 23 Aug 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 87%. Yes opened at 77% on 21 Aug 2024. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 21 Aug 2024 to 23 Aug 2024, the highest close was 87% on 23 Aug 2024 and the lowest 77% on 21 Aug 2024. Its largest one-day move was 8.5 points up, to 85.5% on 22 Aug 2024. $120.58K traded over the market's life.
17 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 24, 5:12 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 21 Aug 2024 – 23 Aug 2024, chart shows 75%–90%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Aug 2024 | 77.0% |
| 23 Aug 2024 | 87.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Squampy | No | 8.91K |
| Twin-Futon | No | 1.18K |
| Pepperonii | No | 441.18 |
| Gang | No | 321.32 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris says "Donald" or "Trump" 5 or more times during her DNC keynote speech. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If Kamala Harris does not give a keynote speech at the DNC this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "Donald" or "Trump" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the person Donald Trump. The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-kamala-say-during-acceptance-speech
| Gamblino | No | 296.82 |
| SirLinkiest | No | 118.1 |
| Unfolded-Clarinet | No | 58.33 |
| Primary-Mansion | No | 50 |
| Omniscient | No | 30 |
| Bets54 | No | 25.64 |
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