Latest trade
May 8, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 26, 2:12 PM UTC.
Analytics
orcasoyy is down $637.51 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 7 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-01-01 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
May 8, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 26, 2:12 PM UTC.
$1 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 13 markets; 74.0% were buys. They run from Nov 13, 2025 UTC to May 8, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Yes | 48.37 | $0.098 | $1.18 | -$3.56 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes | buy | 48.37 | $0.098 | $4.74 | May 8, 2026 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-01-01 07:21 UTC
Polymarket public position response
1 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-26 14:12 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-26 14:12 UTC
polymarket positions
8 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-01-01 07:21 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $33.45 and losing ones cost $7.7 across 7 settled positions. 57.1% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $14.93 on “Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?” (Yes); the largest loss, $4 on “Will the government shutdown end November 18?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 8 May 2026. It has traded 25 markets. Its open positions are worth $1.18 across 1 market.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 2.5K |
| $0.002 |
| $5 |
| Mar 1, 2026 UTC |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 3.33K | $0.002 | $6.65 | Mar 1, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?No | buy | 10K | $0.001 | $10 | Dec 23, 2025 UTC |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - December 15, 1:00AM-1:15AM ETUp | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Dec 15, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 12:30AM-12:45AM ETDown | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Dec 9, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 12:30AM-12:45AM ETDown | buy | 50 | $0.020 | $1 | Dec 9, 2025 UTC |
 Ethereum Up or Down - December 9, 12:30AM-12:45AM ETDown | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Dec 9, 2025 UTC |
 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 3K | $0.001 | $3 | Dec 7, 2025 UTC |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 3K | $0.003 | $9 | Dec 1, 2025 UTC |
 Will Trump talk to Zohran Mamdani in November?No | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Nov 21, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump talk to Zohran Mamdani in November?No | buy | 500 | $0.011 | $5.5 | Nov 20, 2025 UTC |
 Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?No | sell | 11 | $0.877 | $9.65 | Nov 20, 2025 UTC |
 Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 17?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Nov 19, 2025 UTC |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 18?No | sell | 45 | $0.230 | $10.35 | Nov 18, 2025 UTC |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 18?No | buy | 90 | $0.100 | $9 | Nov 18, 2025 UTC |
| Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?No | buy | 11 | $0.359 | $3.95 | Nov 15, 2025 UTC |
 Will the government shutdown end November 13?No | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Nov 13, 2025 UTC |
| Will the government shutdown end November 17?Yes | sell | 144.83 | $0.007 | $1.01 | Nov 13, 2025 UTC |
| Will the government shutdown end November 17?Yes | sell | 142.86 | $0.007 | $1 | Nov 13, 2025 UTC |
| Will the government shutdown end November 17?Yes | sell | 428.57 | $0.007 | $3 | Nov 13, 2025 UTC |
| Will the government shutdown end November 17?Yes | sell | 66 | $0.007 | $0.46 | Nov 13, 2025 UTC |
| Will the government shutdown end November 17?Yes | sell | 169.37 | $0.007 | $1.19 | Nov 13, 2025 UTC |
| Will the government shutdown end November 17?Yes | sell | 142.86 | $0.007 | $1 | Nov 13, 2025 UTC |
| Will the government shutdown end November 17?Yes | sell | 339 | $0.007 | $2.37 | Nov 13, 2025 UTC |
| Will the government shutdown end November 17?Yes | sell | 142.86 | $0.007 | $1 | Nov 13, 2025 UTC |
| Will the government shutdown end November 17?Yes | sell | 3.62 | $0.007 | $0.03 | Nov 13, 2025 UTC |
| Will the government shutdown end November 17?Yes | sell | 285.71 | $0.007 | $2 | Nov 13, 2025 UTC |
| Will the government shutdown end November 17?Yes | sell | 142.86 | $0.007 | $1 | Nov 13, 2025 UTC |
| Will the government shutdown end November 17?Yes | buy | 6.04 | $0.001 | $0.01 | Nov 13, 2025 UTC |
| Will the government shutdown end November 17?Yes | buy | 328 | $0.001 | $0.33 | Nov 13, 2025 UTC |
| Will the government shutdown end November 17?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.001 | $0.03 | Nov 13, 2025 UTC |
| Will the government shutdown end November 17?Yes | buy | 101 | $0.001 | $0.1 | Nov 13, 2025 UTC |
| Will the government shutdown end November 17?Yes | buy | 378 | $0.001 | $0.38 | Nov 13, 2025 UTC |
| Will the government shutdown end November 17?Yes | buy | 26 | $0.001 | $0.03 | Nov 13, 2025 UTC |
| Will the government shutdown end November 17?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.001 | $0.2 | Nov 13, 2025 UTC |
| Will the government shutdown end November 17?Yes | buy | 22 | $0.001 | $0.02 | Nov 13, 2025 UTC |
| Will the government shutdown end November 17?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.001 | $0.2 | Nov 13, 2025 UTC |
| Will the government shutdown end November 17?Yes | buy | 22 | $0.001 | $0.02 | Nov 13, 2025 UTC |
| Will the government shutdown end November 17?Yes | buy | 22 | $0.001 | $0.02 | Nov 13, 2025 UTC |
| Will the government shutdown end November 17?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.001 | $0.02 | Nov 13, 2025 UTC |
| Will the government shutdown end November 17?Yes | buy | 19 | $0.001 | $0.02 | Nov 13, 2025 UTC |
| Will the government shutdown end November 17?Yes | buy | 19 | $0.001 | $0.02 | Nov 13, 2025 UTC |
| Will the government shutdown end November 17?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.001 | $0.01 | Nov 13, 2025 UTC |
| Will the government shutdown end November 17?Yes | buy | 19.96 | $0.001 | $0.02 | Nov 13, 2025 UTC |
| Will the government shutdown end November 17?Yes | buy | 75.39 | $0.001 | $0.08 | Nov 13, 2025 UTC |
| Will the government shutdown end November 17?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.001 | $0.05 | Nov 13, 2025 UTC |
| Will the government shutdown end November 17?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.001 | $0.08 | Nov 13, 2025 UTC |
| Will the government shutdown end November 17?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.001 | $0.05 | Nov 13, 2025 UTC |
| Will the government shutdown end November 17?Yes | buy | 19 | $0.001 | $0.02 | Nov 13, 2025 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 4 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.