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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | No | 426.47 | $0.680 | $364.63 | +$74.63 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 533.33 | $0.180 | $96 | 17d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 1.03K |
| $0.311 |
| $298.66 |
| -$21.34 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 6.2K | $0.040 | $245.04 | -$4.96 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 1.55K | $0.193 | $224.61 | -$75.39 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 6.68K | $0.022 | $130.18 | -$16.69 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | Yes | 500 | $0.200 | $102.5 | +$2.5 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 359.26 | $0.270 | $80.83 | -$16.17 |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | Yes | 533.33 | $0.180 | $72 | -$24 |
 US military draft authorized in 2026? | Yes | 1.83K | $0.054 | $57.7 | -$42.3 |
 Will Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 1.43K | $0.070 | $21.43 | -$78.57 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | Yes | 769.23 | $0.130 | $0.38 | -$99.61 |
| buy |
| 500 |
| $0.200 |
| $100 |
| 17d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 426.47 | $0.680 | $290 | 17d ago |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 6.68K | $0.022 | $146.87 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | buy | 769.23 | $0.130 | $100 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 2.5K | $0.105 | $262.46 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 359.26 | $0.270 | $97 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 6:20AM-6:25AM ETUp | buy | 109.67 | $0.182 | $20 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Yes | buy | 525.78 | $0.190 | $100 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?No | buy | 312.5 | $0.320 | $100 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 666.67 | $0.450 | $300 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31?Yes | buy | 2.94K | $0.034 | $100 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?Yes | sell | 754.2 | $0.952 | $718.26 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?Yes | buy | 487.85 | $0.650 | $317 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?Yes | buy | 1.03K | $0.311 | $320 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 1.55K | $0.193 | $300 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 6.2K | $0.040 | $250 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 2.5K | $0.120 | $300 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?Yes | buy | 754.21 | $0.663 | $500 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.43K | $0.070 | $100 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| US military draft authorized in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.83K | $0.055 | $100 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?No | sell | 194.91 | $0.469 | $91.36 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?No | buy | 194.92 | $0.493 | $96 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Yes | sell | 1.71K | $0.050 | $85.54 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?No | buy | 2.22K | $0.880 | $1.95K | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance AND France vs. England: Team to Win | buy | 520.15 | $0.278 | $144.77 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 5.4K | $0.401 | $2.16K | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Yes | buy | 1.71K | $0.344 | $589 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 1.53K | $0.325 | $497.98 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?Yes | buy | 217.39 | $0.230 | $50 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?Yes | buy | 152.38 | $0.210 | $32 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 1.53K | $0.372 | $570 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?Yes | buy | 263.16 | $0.190 | $50 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28?Yes | buy | 312.5 | $0.160 | $50 | Jun 28, 2026 |
 Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 2.78K | $0.049 | $136.78 | Jun 28, 2026 |
 Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 7.37K | $0.009 | $66.35 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 2.06K | $0.097 | $200 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 2.42K | $0.062 | $150 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 2.78K | $0.108 | $300 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 10.88K | $0.050 | $544.02 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 2.68K | $0.110 | $294.67 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?Yes | buy | 136.63 | $0.480 | $65.58 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 3.6K | $0.860 | $3.1K | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 3.33K | $0.090 | $300 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 27.78K | $0.009 | $250 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 4.46K | $0.056 | $250 | Jun 1, 2026 |