Latest trade
Oct 23, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 5:18 PM UTC.
Analytics
Granulka21 is down $941.68 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 25 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-04 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 23, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 5:18 PM UTC.
$18.46 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 15 markets; 68.0% were buys. They run from Jun 26, 2026 UTC to Oct 23, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | No | 56.49 | $0.953 | $54.46 | +$0.62 |
 Fetterman out by December 31, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party win the AL-07 House seat?Yes | buy | 16.9 | $0.974 | $16.46 | 18h ago |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-04 02:19 UTC
Polymarket public position response
3 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-24 17:18 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-24 17:18 UTC
polymarket positions
27 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-04 02:19 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $7.22 and losing ones cost $949.92 across 25 settled positions. 76% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $1.71 on “Will Russia capture Kindrativka by September 30?” (No); the largest loss, $949.92 on “Mariners vs. Twins” (Mariners).
Its most recent trade on record was on 23 Oct 2026. It has traded 28 markets. Its open positions are worth $158.87 across 3 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 55.95 |
| $0.975 |
| $53.43 |
| -$1.12 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the AL-07 House seat? | Yes | 52.86 | $0.974 | $50.98 | -$0.5 |
| buy |
| 1.41 |
| $0.974 |
| $1.37 |
| 18h ago |
| Will the Democratic Party win the AL-07 House seat?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.974 | $29.22 | 18h ago |
| Will the Democratic Party win the AL-07 House seat?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.974 | $4.43 | 18h ago |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?No | buy | 56.49 | $0.953 | $53.83 | 2d ago |
 Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?No | sell | 50.18 | $0.949 | $47.62 | 20d ago |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?No | sell | 56.66 | $0.968 | $54.85 | 29d ago |
| Fetterman out by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 55.95 | $0.975 | $54.55 | 29d ago |
 Will Russia capture Kindrativka by September 30?No | buy | 57.15 | $0.970 | $55.44 | Sep 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?No | buy | 56.66 | $0.950 | $53.83 | Sep 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?No | buy | 50.18 | $0.948 | $47.57 | Sep 14, 2026 UTC |
 Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?No | sell | 50.68 | $0.986 | $49.97 | Sep 6, 2026 UTC |
 Will Taylor Fritz win the 2026 Men's US Open?No | sell | 49.13 | $0.944 | $46.38 | Sep 5, 2026 UTC |
 Will San Jose Earthquakes win the 2026 MLS Cup?No | sell | 26.43 | $0.982 | $25.95 | Sep 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will San Jose Earthquakes win the 2026 MLS Cup?No | sell | 5 | $0.982 | $4.91 | Aug 31, 2026 UTC |
| Will Taylor Fritz win the 2026 Men's US Open?No | buy | 49.13 | $0.943 | $46.33 | Aug 24, 2026 UTC |
 Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?No | sell | 40.65 | $0.984 | $40 | Aug 11, 2026 UTC |
 Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027?No | sell | 49.45 | $0.963 | $47.62 | Aug 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will San Jose Earthquakes win the 2026 MLS Cup?No | buy | 12.07 | $0.966 | $11.66 | Jul 30, 2026 UTC |
| Will San Jose Earthquakes win the 2026 MLS Cup?No | buy | 3.62 | $0.966 | $3.5 | Jul 29, 2026 UTC |
| Will San Jose Earthquakes win the 2026 MLS Cup?No | buy | 4.42 | $0.966 | $4.27 | Jul 28, 2026 UTC |
| Will San Jose Earthquakes win the 2026 MLS Cup?No | buy | 4.41 | $0.966 | $4.26 | Jul 28, 2026 UTC |
| Will San Jose Earthquakes win the 2026 MLS Cup?No | buy | 4.48 | $0.966 | $4.33 | Jul 28, 2026 UTC |
| Will San Jose Earthquakes win the 2026 MLS Cup?No | buy | 2.13 | $0.966 | $2.06 | Jul 28, 2026 UTC |
| Will San Jose Earthquakes win the 2026 MLS Cup?No | buy | 0.3 | $0.966 | $0.29 | Jul 28, 2026 UTC |
| Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?No | buy | 50.68 | $0.985 | $49.92 | Jul 25, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027?No | buy | 49.45 | $0.962 | $47.57 | Jul 24, 2026 UTC |
 Will Mandela Barnes win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?No | sell | 27.37 | $0.928 | $25.4 | Jul 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will Mandela Barnes win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?No | sell | 22.05 | $0.928 | $20.46 | Jul 24, 2026 UTC |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 49.74 | $0.960 | $47.75 | Jul 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will Mandela Barnes win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?No | buy | 49.42 | $0.926 | $45.76 | Jul 21, 2026 UTC |
 Will Fernando Haddad qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?No | sell | 42.5 | $0.979 | $41.61 | Jul 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 3.3 | $0.960 | $3.17 | Jul 19, 2026 UTC |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 5.19 | $0.960 | $4.98 | Jul 19, 2026 UTC |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 5.19 | $0.960 | $4.98 | Jul 19, 2026 UTC |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 5.19 | $0.960 | $4.98 | Jul 19, 2026 UTC |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 5.19 | $0.960 | $4.98 | Jul 19, 2026 UTC |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 5.19 | $0.960 | $4.98 | Jul 19, 2026 UTC |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 5.19 | $0.960 | $4.98 | Jul 19, 2026 UTC |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 6.03 | $0.960 | $5.79 | Jul 19, 2026 UTC |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 5.19 | $0.960 | $4.98 | Jul 19, 2026 UTC |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 4.08 | $0.960 | $3.92 | Jul 19, 2026 UTC |
 Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 4.62 | $0.985 | $4.55 | Jul 16, 2026 UTC |
 Will Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?No | sell | 51.46 | $0.972 | $50.02 | Jul 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 10 | $0.985 | $9.85 | Jul 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 26.09 | $0.985 | $25.7 | Jul 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 40.73 | $0.982 | $40 | Jul 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Fernando Haddad qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?No | buy | 33.86 | $0.941 | $31.86 | Jun 30, 2026 UTC |
| Will Fernando Haddad qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?No | buy | 5.75 | $0.941 | $5.41 | Jun 29, 2026 UTC |
| Will Fernando Haddad qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.941 | $1.03 | Jun 26, 2026 UTC |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.