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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alberta join the US? | No | 0.75 | $0.953 | $0.73 | +$0.02 |
 Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes | buy | 47 | $0.350 | $16.45 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 0.53 |
| $0.950 |
| $0.51 |
| +$0.01 |
| sell |
| 42 |
| $0.964 |
| $40.49 |
| Jun 25, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 42 | $0.968 | $40.66 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 41 | $0.980 | $40.18 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | sell | 38 | $0.975 | $37.05 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 38 | $0.976 | $37.09 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 5 | $0.973 | $4.87 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?No | sell | 52 | $0.800 | $41.6 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?No | buy | 52 | $0.800 | $41.6 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 16 | $0.730 | $11.68 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 21 | $0.760 | $15.96 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 26 | $0.111 | $2.89 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 47 | $0.885 | $41.6 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 47 | $0.887 | $41.69 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 38 | $0.150 | $5.7 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.560 | $3.92 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 84 | $0.053 | $4.45 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 44 | $0.946 | $41.62 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 43 | $0.955 | $41.07 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 9 | $0.958 | $8.62 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 45 | $0.900 | $40.5 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 44 | $0.933 | $41.05 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 56 | $0.660 | $36.96 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 11 | $0.085 | $0.94 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 48 | $0.842 | $40.42 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 49 | $0.816 | $39.98 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 86 | $0.490 | $42.14 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 80 | $0.360 | $28.8 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 29.58 | $0.350 | $10.35 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 40 | $0.938 | $37.52 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 43 | $0.942 | $40.51 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 39 | $0.958 | $37.36 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No | sell | 52 | $0.780 | $40.56 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 52 | $0.760 | $39.52 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 9 | $0.952 | $8.57 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 38 | $0.971 | $36.9 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | sell | 42 | $0.972 | $40.82 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | buy | 42 | $0.972 | $40.82 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 3 | $0.807 | $2.42 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by June 30?No | sell | 35 | $0.962 | $33.67 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30?No | buy | 35 | $0.967 | $33.85 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | sell | 16 | $0.690 | $11.04 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | sell | 43 | $0.690 | $29.67 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | buy | 59 | $0.690 | $40.71 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 73 | $0.510 | $37.23 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 43 | $0.985 | $42.36 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | sell | 85 | $0.470 | $39.95 | May 31, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 85 | $0.470 | $39.95 | May 31, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by May 31?No | sell | 10 | $0.989 | $9.89 | May 29, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by May 31?No | buy | 39 | $0.981 | $38.26 | May 29, 2026 |