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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 36 | $0.130 | $4.68 | Jun 24, 2026 |
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| sell |
| 36 |
| $0.860 |
| $30.96 |
| Jun 24, 2026 |
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 46 | $0.850 | $39.1 | Jun 24, 2026 |
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?No | buy | 37 | $0.962 | $35.59 | Jun 24, 2026 |
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 30 | $0.520 | $15.6 | Jun 23, 2026 |
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 30 | $0.520 | $15.6 | Jun 23, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | sell | 52 | $0.700 | $36.4 | Jun 23, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | buy | 52 | $0.700 | $36.4 | Jun 22, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.490 | $19.6 | Jun 2, 2026 |
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | buy | 35 | $0.670 | $23.45 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | sell | 85 | $0.470 | $39.95 | May 31, 2026 |
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?No | sell | 44 | $0.987 | $43.43 | May 31, 2026 |
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?No | buy | 44 | $0.982 | $43.21 | May 31, 2026 |
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 16 | $0.968 | $15.49 | May 30, 2026 |
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 44 | $0.971 | $42.72 | May 30, 2026 |
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No | sell | 40 | $0.985 | $39.4 | May 29, 2026 |
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No | buy | 15 | $0.986 | $14.79 | May 29, 2026 |
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | buy | 62 | $0.710 | $44.02 | May 29, 2026 |
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 40 | $0.985 | $39.4 | May 29, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 107 | $0.410 | $43.87 | May 29, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | sell | 43 | $0.380 | $16.34 | May 28, 2026 |
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 44 | $0.985 | $43.34 | May 28, 2026 |
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 44 | $0.986 | $43.38 | May 28, 2026 |
Will Dillon Danis win the match?Yes | sell | 75 | $0.006 | $0.45 | Jun 24, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 350 or more times May 23–30?No | buy | 1.32 | $0.988 | $1.3 | May 25, 2025 |
Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?Yes | buy | 28 | $0.232 | $6.5 | May 6, 2025 |
Will Elon and DOGE cut between $50-100b in federal spending in 2025?No | sell | 7 | $0.966 | $6.76 | May 6, 2025 |
Will the Conservative Party win by 50 or more seats?No | buy | 8 | $0.973 | $7.78 | Apr 23, 2025 |
Will Elena Lasconi advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?No | sell | 9 | $0.950 | $8.55 | Apr 23, 2025 |
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on June 30?No | sell | 8 | $0.953 | $7.62 | Apr 23, 2025 |
Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2025 Stanley Cup?Yes | sell | 43 | $0.019 | $0.82 | Apr 19, 2025 |
Will Meta have the top AI model on June 30?No | buy | 9 | $0.969 | $8.72 | Apr 10, 2025 |
Will Trump pardon Rudy Giuliani in his first 100 days?No | sell | 15 | $0.987 | $14.81 | Apr 10, 2025 |
Will Trump pardon Rudy Giuliani in his first 100 days?No | buy | 15 | $0.983 | $14.75 | Apr 8, 2025 |
Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2025 Stanley Cup?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.019 | $0.29 | Apr 7, 2025 |
Will Johni Broome win the Wooden Award?No | buy | 14 | $0.982 | $13.75 | Mar 31, 2025 |
500+ Measles cases in U.S. before April?No | sell | 13 | $0.993 | $12.91 | Mar 29, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 again by March 31?Yes | sell | 37 | $0.007 | $0.26 | Mar 28, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 again by March 31?Yes | sell | 63 | $0.008 | $0.5 | Mar 28, 2025 |
500+ Measles cases in U.S. before April?No | buy | 13 | $0.989 | $12.86 | Mar 28, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 again by March 31?Yes | buy | 14 | $0.018 | $0.25 | Mar 28, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 375-399 times March 21-28?No | buy | 16 | $0.989 | $15.82 | Mar 25, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 325-349 times March 21-28?No | sell | 16 | $0.997 | $15.95 | Mar 25, 2025 |
Will the Golden State Warriors win the Western Conference?Yes | sell | 24 | $0.098 | $2.35 | Mar 21, 2025 |
Arsenal wins the Premier League?No | sell | 8 | $0.965 | $7.72 | Mar 21, 2025 |
Will the Golden State Warriors win the Western Conference?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.091 | $2.73 | Mar 10, 2025 |