Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 74.34 | $0.830 | $63.56 | +$1.86 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 13.7 | $0.900 | $12.33 | 23h ago |
|
| No |
| 62.49 |
| $0.897 |
| $58.43 |
| +$2.4 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | No | 29.11 | $0.904 | $28.17 | +$1.84 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 79.08 | $0.557 | $26.49 | -$17.54 |
 Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31 | Yes | 108.27 | $0.162 | $17.32 | -$0.23 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? | No | 14.51 | $0.780 | $14.4 | +$3.08 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30? | No | 14.4 | $0.814 | $13.82 | +$2.1 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 22.02 | $0.818 | $13.09 | -$4.93 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 28.36 | $0.315 | $7.94 | -$0.99 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 51.18 | $0.498 | $7.68 | -$17.82 |
 Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by September 30, 2026? | No | 7.45 | $0.965 | $7.36 | +$0.17 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? | No | 14.11 | $0.540 | $6.35 | -$1.27 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? | No | 52.46 | $0.193 | $4.98 | -$5.14 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? | No | 31.21 | $0.342 | $4.21 | -$6.45 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? | Yes | 113.76 | $0.052 | $2.73 | -$3.25 |
 US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by September 30? | Yes | 26.18 | $0.110 | $1.96 | -$0.92 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? | No | 28.5 | $0.080 | $1.28 | -$1 |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 26 | $0.100 | $0.86 | -$1.74 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15? | Yes | 86.88 | $0.016 | $0.3 | -$1.09 |
| buy |
| 34.99 |
| $0.890 |
| $31.14 |
| 1d ago |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 13.8 | $0.910 | $12.56 | 1d ago |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 41.72 | $0.950 | $39.63 | 1d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 11.92 | $0.940 | $11.2 | 1d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 13.89 | $0.610 | $8.47 | 2d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 28.89 | $0.036 | $1.04 | 2d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 28.06 | $0.036 | $1.01 | 2d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?No | sell | 8.74 | $0.920 | $8.04 | 2d ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No | buy | 7.11 | $0.949 | $6.75 | 3d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 11.37 | $0.650 | $7.39 | 4d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 5.69 | $0.540 | $3.07 | 4d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 14.4 | $0.580 | $8.35 | 5d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 5.77 | $0.600 | $3.46 | 5d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 7.9 | $0.600 | $4.74 | 5d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 20.18 | $0.620 | $12.51 | 5d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 8.62 | $0.511 | $4.41 | 5d ago |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?Yes | sell | 6.93 | $0.190 | $1.32 | 5d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 43.2 | $0.050 | $2.16 | 7d ago |
| US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by September 30?Yes | buy | 14.36 | $0.110 | $1.58 | 8d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.51 | $0.370 | $4.26 | 9d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 42.69 | $0.033 | $1.39 | 9d ago |
 Will Noor Tarun win the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election?No | buy | 7.06 | $0.985 | $6.95 | 11d ago |
 Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?No | buy | 7.14 | $0.730 | $5.21 | 11d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?No | buy | 7.14 | $0.730 | $5.21 | 11d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?Yes | buy | 6.94 | $0.500 | $3.47 | 11d ago |
 Will Ahsanul Hafiz win the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election?No | buy | 7.56 | $0.550 | $4.16 | 11d ago |
| US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by September 30?Yes | buy | 11.82 | $0.110 | $1.3 | 12d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | sell | 441.7 | $0.003 | $1.33 | 13d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?No | sell | 5.19 | $0.840 | $4.36 | 13d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?Yes | buy | 86.88 | $0.016 | $1.39 | 13d ago |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 26 | $0.100 | $2.6 | 13d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 14.53 | $0.960 | $13.95 | 14d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 25?Yes | buy | 5.41 | $0.999 | $5.4 | 14d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?Yes | sell | 12.86 | $0.320 | $4.12 | 15d ago |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?No | buy | 13.79 | $0.340 | $4.69 | 16d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?No | buy | 13.93 | $0.840 | $11.7 | 17d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?No | buy | 7.05 | $0.840 | $5.92 | 17d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 30.5 | $0.040 | $1.22 | 17d ago |
| US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 22?Yes | buy | 7.28 | $0.998 | $7.27 | 18d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 41.18 | $0.034 | $1.4 | 18d ago |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?No | buy | 12.53 | $0.340 | $4.26 | 18d ago |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?No | buy | 4.89 | $0.350 | $1.71 | 18d ago |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?No | buy | 17.86 | $0.210 | $3.75 | 18d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 14.51 | $0.780 | $11.32 | 19d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 15.63 | $0.410 | $6.41 | 19d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?No | sell | 7.24 | $0.560 | $4.05 | 19d ago |
 NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 6.75 | $0.084 | $0.57 | 19d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.092 | $0.92 | 19d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.092 | $0.46 | 19d ago |