Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 526.71 | $0.825 | $460.87 | +$26.32 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Claude 6 released by June 30, 2027?No | sell | 50 | $0.410 | $20.5 | 1d ago |
 |
| No |
| 286.04 |
| $0.960 |
| $281.46 |
| +$6.97 |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | No | 157.83 | $0.700 | $149.15 | +$38.67 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 299.99 | $0.450 | $136.5 | +$1.5 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? | No | 130.81 | $0.950 | $127.93 | +$3.66 |
 Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 92.79 | $0.978 | $92.74 | +$2 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? | No | 89.67 | $0.845 | $88.91 | +$13.16 |
 Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | Yes | 106.12 | $0.784 | $88.61 | +$5.35 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 81.9 | $0.875 | $75.76 | +$4.12 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 73.18 | $0.897 | $59.09 | -$6.52 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 57.51 | $0.892 | $45.15 | -$6.14 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 48.29 | $0.765 | $40.9 | +$3.96 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 45.75 | $0.880 | $39.57 | -$0.69 |
 Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | Yes | 45 | $0.790 | $34.88 | -$0.68 |
 LAPTOP FDV above $50M one day after launch? | Yes | 21.23 | $0.988 | $20.92 | -$0.05 |
 Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | No | 23.3 | $0.830 | $20.27 | +$0.93 |
 US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30? | No | 17 | $0.940 | $16.59 | +$0.61 |
 Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 15.82 | $0.718 | $14.99 | +$3.63 |
 Will Bangladesh recognize Israel by December 31? | No | 15 | $0.920 | $14.42 | +$0.62 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 15.02 | $0.900 | $14.04 | +$0.53 |
 Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? | Yes | 19.9 | $0.842 | $13.43 | -$3.32 |
 Will Erika Jurinová win the 2026 Žilina Region gubernatorial election? | Yes | 20.01 | $0.680 | $12.71 | -$0.9 |
 Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 305.49 | $0.024 | $10.54 | +$3.29 |
 Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? | No | 11.38 | $0.890 | $10.24 | +$0.11 |
 Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 11.24 | $0.890 | $9.33 | -$0.67 |
| sell |
| 50.02 |
| $0.148 |
| $7.4 |
| 10d ago |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 53.03 | $0.890 | $47.2 | 11d ago |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | sell | 200.01 | $0.310 | $62 | 11d ago |
 Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 5.5 | $0.621 | $3.42 | 11d ago |
 No one announced as next James Bond?No | buy | 50 | $0.789 | $39.45 | 12d ago |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 18.76 | $0.178 | $3.34 | 12d ago |
 Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | sell | 50 | $0.974 | $48.7 | 15d ago |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?No | buy | 118.6 | $0.993 | $117.77 | 16d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 43 | $0.965 | $41.5 | 16d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 19.49 | $0.950 | $18.52 | 16d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.660 | $132 | 17d ago |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 19.84 | $0.880 | $17.46 | 18d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | sell | 199.99 | $0.340 | $68 | 21d ago |
 Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Yes | buy | 5.34 | $0.992 | $5.3 | 22d ago |
 Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?No | buy | 75.93 | $0.991 | $75.25 | 22d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 200 | $0.260 | $52 | 24d ago |
 Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.540 | $108 | 27d ago |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.540 | $108 | 27d ago |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.550 | $110 | 27d ago |
 Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?No | sell | 50 | $0.076 | $3.8 | 27d ago |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | sell | 1.95 | $0.560 | $1.09 | 28d ago |
 Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.757 | $15.15 | 28d ago |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.270 | $5.4 | 29d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 15 | $0.965 | $14.48 | 29d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 14, 2026?No | buy | 31.21 | $0.960 | $29.96 | 29d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 11, 2026?No | buy | 161.73 | $0.991 | $160.27 | Aug 11, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 14, 2026?No | buy | 12 | $0.940 | $11.28 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 10, 2026?No | buy | 72.62 | $0.994 | $72.18 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 12.94 | $0.962 | $12.45 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 11, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.986 | $9.86 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 10, 2026?No | buy | 189.14 | $0.992 | $187.63 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 9, 2026?No | buy | 93.99 | $0.960 | $90.23 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 10, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.920 | $4.6 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 9, 2026?No | buy | 45.4 | $0.950 | $43.13 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?No | sell | 6.44 | $0.060 | $0.39 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?No | sell | 15.01 | $0.440 | $6.6 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | sell | 27.06 | $0.380 | $10.28 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | sell | 12.43 | $0.630 | $7.83 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by August 15?No | sell | 6.01 | $0.880 | $5.29 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by August 31?No | sell | 15.16 | $0.973 | $14.75 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 300m and 310m?No | buy | 50.09 | $0.999 | $50.04 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | sell | 12.5 | $0.130 | $1.63 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | sell | 49.12 | $0.270 | $13.26 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | sell | 40.22 | $0.110 | $4.42 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Iran full airspace closure by August 31?No | sell | 7.51 | $0.740 | $5.56 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?No | buy | 6.96 | $0.670 | $4.66 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | sell | 7.94 | $0.540 | $4.29 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | sell | 57.36 | $0.460 | $26.39 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 28.88 | $0.910 | $26.28 | Jul 24, 2026 |