Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 649.96 | $0.561 | $326.61 | -$37.87 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 OpenAI IPO before 2027?Yes | buy | 45.19 | $0.670 | $30.28 | May 20, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 734.32 |
| $0.694 |
| $55.07 |
| -$454.43 |
| OpenAI IPO before 2027? | Yes | 386.11 | $0.712 | $36.68 | -$238.08 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 200 | $0.370 | $28.9 | -$45.1 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 5K | $0.005 | $12.5 | -$12.5 |
| buy |
| 643.95 |
| $0.700 |
| $450.77 |
| May 20, 2026 |
| OpenAI IPO before 2027?Yes | buy | 340.92 | $0.717 | $244.48 | May 20, 2026 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 1.75K | $0.159 | $278.41 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by April 15?Yes | sell | 192.39 | $0.998 | $192.01 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration before 2027?Yes | buy | 122.09 | $0.873 | $106.62 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in February?No | sell | 19.9K | $0.998 | $19.86K | Feb 21, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?No | sell | 5K | $0.998 | $4.99K | Feb 21, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in February?No | buy | 20.01K | $0.999 | $19.99K | Feb 21, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?No | sell | 20K | $0.998 | $19.96K | Feb 21, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in February?No | sell | 100 | $0.998 | $99.8 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?No | buy | 25K | $0.999 | $24.98K | Feb 21, 2026 |
 SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?Yes | buy | 57.15 | $0.880 | $50.29 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.900 | $450 | Feb 21, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | sell | 45 | $0.968 | $43.56 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 45 | $0.890 | $40.05 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?No | sell | 26K | $0.987 | $25.66K | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in February?No | buy | 100 | $0.995 | $99.5 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 26K | $0.988 | $25.69K | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Over $2M committed to the Trove public sale?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.900 | $45 | Jan 6, 2026 |
 Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?No | sell | 24.5K | $0.998 | $24.45K | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?No | buy | 25K | $0.999 | $24.98K | Jan 6, 2026 |
 Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 4K | $0.995 | $3.98K | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Will Benfica win the 2025–26 Champions League?No | sell | 251 | $0.996 | $250 | Dec 18, 2025 |
 Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.870 | $174 | Dec 18, 2025 |
| Will Benfica win the 2025–26 Champions League?No | buy | 251 | $0.998 | $250.5 | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Will Benfica win the 2025–26 Champions League?No | sell | 25.11K | $0.997 | $25.03K | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.190 | $19 | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Will Benfica win the 2025–26 Champions League?No | buy | 25.11K | $0.998 | $25.05K | Dec 8, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Yes | sell | 249.99 | $0.265 | $66.26 | Dec 8, 2025 |
 Will Aztec launch a token in 2025?No | sell | 6.18 | $0.978 | $6.04 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.480 | $24 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes | buy | 27.22 | $0.737 | $20.05 | Nov 28, 2025 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.550 | $55 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 Over $600M committed to the Monad public sale?No | buy | 200 | $0.800 | $160 | Nov 20, 2025 |
 Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 5.42K | $0.995 | $5.39K | Nov 20, 2025 |
 Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 560 | $0.994 | $556.64 | Nov 20, 2025 |
| Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 5.42K | $0.996 | $5.4K | Nov 20, 2025 |
| Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 5.5K | $0.994 | $5.47K | Nov 20, 2025 |
| Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 6.06K | $0.995 | $6.03K | Nov 20, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 4.11 | $0.966 | $3.97 | Nov 20, 2025 |
 Will the Las Vegas Raiders win Super Bowl 2026?No | sell | 45 | $0.996 | $44.82 | Nov 20, 2025 |
| Over $1B committed to the Monad public sale?No | buy | 465.03 | $0.940 | $437.13 | Nov 20, 2025 |
| Over $800M committed to the Monad public sale?No | buy | 450 | $0.900 | $405 | Nov 20, 2025 |
| Over $600M committed to the Monad public sale?No | buy | 1K | $0.800 | $800 | Nov 20, 2025 |
| Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?No | buy | 500 | $0.450 | $225 | Nov 20, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.060 | $6 | Nov 17, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 474.7 | $0.966 | $458.44 | Nov 14, 2025 |
 Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | sell | 1K | $0.948 | $948.17 | Nov 14, 2025 |
| Will Aztec launch a token in 2025?No | buy | 1.26K | $0.748 | $939.09 | Nov 14, 2025 |