Latest trade
Oct 21, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 21, 9:20 AM UTC.
Analytics
ultra-poverty has made $3.71K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-20 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 21, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 21, 9:20 AM UTC.
$10.31 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 14 markets; 70.0% were buys. They run from Oct 11, 2026 UTC to Oct 21, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 1.5K | $0.691 | $1.22K | +$181.75 |
|
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US imports Russian diesel by November 30?Yes | buy | 499.99 | $0.550 | $274.99 | 12m ago |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-20 03:32 UTC
Polymarket public position response
10 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-21 09:20 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-21 09:20 UTC
polymarket positions
52 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-20 03:32 UTC
Last checked just now.
Winning positions brought in $7.91K and losing ones cost $4.21K across the latest 50 settled positions. 56% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $859.4 on “Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?” (No); the largest loss, $549.55 on “Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 21 Oct 2026. It has traded 146 markets. Its open positions are worth $3.41K across 10 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 999.99 |
| $0.380 |
| $420 |
| +$40 |
 Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 500 | $0.720 | $350 | -$10 |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 500 | $0.640 | $322.5 | +$2.5 |
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 500 | $0.570 | $320 | +$35 |
| US imports Russian diesel by November 30? | Yes | 499.99 | $0.550 | $289.99 | +$15 |
 Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 499.99 | $0.360 | $192.5 | +$12.5 |
 Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 264.08 | $0.490 | $101.67 | -$27.73 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026? | Yes | 578.19 | $0.720 | $101.18 | -$315.11 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026? | Yes | 768.15 | $0.630 | $92.18 | -$391.91 |
| buy |
| 119.6 |
| $0.490 |
| $58.6 |
| 21h ago |
 Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?Yes | sell | 405.33 | $0.270 | $109.44 | 1d ago |
| Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?Yes | sell | 50.49 | $0.270 | $13.63 | 1d ago |
| Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?Yes | sell | 67.25 | $0.270 | $18.16 | 1d ago |
 No one announced as next James Bond?No | sell | 999.66 | $0.650 | $649.78 | 1d ago |
| Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.670 | $3.35 | 1d ago |
 Will OpenRouter process at least 725T tokens from Sep 28 to Oct 25?Yes | sell | 72 | $0.003 | $0.22 | 1d ago |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?Yes | sell | 56.66 | $0.230 | $13.03 | 1d ago |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?Yes | sell | 82.04 | $0.220 | $18.05 | 1d ago |
 Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | sell | 566.87 | $0.249 | $141.15 | 1d ago |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.249 | $2.49 | 1d ago |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | sell | 3.94 | $0.254 | $1 | 1d ago |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | sell | 68.74 | $0.254 | $17.46 | 1d ago |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 49.13 | $0.650 | $31.93 | 4d ago |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.650 | $6.5 | 4d ago |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.86 | $0.650 | $1.86 | 4d ago |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.86 | $0.650 | $1.86 | 4d ago |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.86 | $0.650 | $1.86 | 4d ago |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.43 | $0.650 | $7.43 | 4d ago |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 83.31 | $0.650 | $54.15 | 4d ago |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.17 | $0.650 | $7.26 | 4d ago |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.86 | $0.650 | $1.86 | 4d ago |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.86 | $0.650 | $1.86 | 4d ago |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.86 | $0.650 | $1.86 | 4d ago |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.86 | $0.650 | $1.86 | 4d ago |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.86 | $0.650 | $1.86 | 4d ago |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.86 | $0.650 | $1.86 | 4d ago |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.86 | $0.650 | $1.86 | 4d ago |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.86 | $0.650 | $1.86 | 4d ago |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.86 | $0.650 | $1.86 | 4d ago |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.86 | $0.650 | $1.86 | 4d ago |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.86 | $0.650 | $1.86 | 4d ago |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.86 | $0.650 | $1.86 | 4d ago |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 182.2 | $0.650 | $118.43 | 4d ago |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 131.08 | $0.680 | $89.13 | 4d ago |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 19.71 | $0.650 | $12.81 | 5d ago |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.650 | $18.57 | 5d ago |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.650 | $7.8 | 5d ago |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 57.14 | $0.650 | $37.14 | 5d ago |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.23 | $0.650 | $2.75 | 5d ago |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.71 | $0.650 | $3.71 | 5d ago |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?Yes | sell | 390.15 | $0.093 | $36.11 | 5d ago |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 670.11 | $0.087 | $58.32 | 5d ago |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 670.11 | $0.427 | $286.01 | 7d ago |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 578.19 | $0.720 | $416.3 | 7d ago |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 390.15 | $0.506 | $197.58 | 7d ago |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 280 | $0.680 | $190.4 | 8d ago |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.700 | $70 | 8d ago |
| Will "The Social Reckoning" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 5m?No | sell | 23.26 | $0.900 | $20.93 | 9d ago |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 107 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.