Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 2.98K | $0.537 | $193.65 | -$1.41K |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 730.63 | $0.137 | $99.96 | May 20, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 730.63 |
| $0.137 |
| $12.06 |
| -$87.9 |
| sell |
| 181.81 |
| $0.450 |
| $81.81 |
| May 20, 2026 |
 Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.080 | $8 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 1.61K | $0.620 | $1K | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 2.24K | $0.419 | $936.19 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.24K | $0.313 | $700 | Feb 7, 2026 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.09K | $0.723 | $789.06 | Feb 7, 2026 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.09K | $0.920 | $1K | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 465.12 | $0.043 | $20 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on February 1?Yes | sell | 47.29 | $0.112 | $5.29 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on February 1?Yes | buy | 71.94 | $0.139 | $10 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Solana Up or Down on January 31?Down | buy | 988.24 | $0.850 | $840 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on January 31?Down | buy | 35.71 | $0.560 | $20 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will The Secret Agent win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 1.34K | $0.007 | $10 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 51.28 | $0.390 | $20 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 731.71 | $0.410 | $300 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $7 million?Yes | sell | 1.2K | $0.961 | $1.16K | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | sell | 105.26 | $0.200 | $21.05 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 583.33 | $0.480 | $280 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 105.26 | $0.190 | $20 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $7 million?Yes | buy | 1.2K | $0.830 | $1K | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $5 million?No | sell | 370.48 | $0.033 | $12.23 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026?No | sell | 1.07K | $0.999 | $1.07K | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $5 million?No | buy | 185.3 | $0.054 | $10 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $5 million?No | buy | 185.19 | $0.054 | $10 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026?No | buy | 1.07K | $0.938 | $1K | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 9?No | sell | 416.66 | $0.001 | $0.42 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 41.72 | $0.240 | $10 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 9?No | buy | 416.67 | $0.012 | $5 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 6?No | buy | 18.18 | $0.550 | $10 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 29.4 | $0.510 | $15 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.072 | $2 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 68.89 | $0.073 | $5 | Jan 6, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | sell | 1.26K | $0.996 | $1.26K | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?No | sell | 16.66 | $0.001 | $0.02 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 TikTok sale announced in 2025?No | buy | 7 | $0.252 | $1.76 | Dec 19, 2025 |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?No | buy | 16.67 | $0.120 | $2 | Dec 19, 2025 |
 Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?No | buy | 25 | $0.120 | $3 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Will Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No | buy | 250 | $0.008 | $2 | Dec 15, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on December 11?No | buy | 5.13 | $0.390 | $2 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Will another person/thing be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | buy | 73.17 | $0.041 | $3 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model this year?Yes | sell | 167.87 | $0.048 | $8.14 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 878.21 | $0.780 | $685 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 384.72 | $0.780 | $300 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: NovemberYes | buy | 27.4 | $0.730 | $20 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model this year?Yes | buy | 167.88 | $0.071 | $12 | Nov 21, 2025 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?Yes | buy | 1.37K | $0.007 | $10 | Nov 21, 2025 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?No | sell | 962.69 | $0.025 | $23.72 | Nov 18, 2025 |
 Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?No | buy | 200.09 | $0.050 | $10 | Nov 18, 2025 |