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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 43 | $0.490 | $21.07 | May 26, 2026 |
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| sell |
| 62 |
| $0.580 |
| $35.96 |
| May 26, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 62 | $0.620 | $38.44 | May 26, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 61 | $0.570 | $34.77 | May 26, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 61 | $0.570 | $34.77 | May 26, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 69 | $0.450 | $31.05 | May 25, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 86 | $0.390 | $33.54 | May 25, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | buy | 49 | $0.500 | $24.5 | May 25, 2026 |
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 32 | $0.949 | $30.37 | May 25, 2026 |
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No | buy | 48 | $0.690 | $33.12 | May 24, 2026 |
Iran leadership change by May 31?No | buy | 30 | $0.987 | $29.61 | May 24, 2026 |
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | sell | 34 | $0.976 | $33.18 | May 24, 2026 |
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 34 | $0.984 | $33.46 | May 24, 2026 |
Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 35 | $0.960 | $33.6 | May 23, 2026 |
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?No | sell | 37 | $0.886 | $32.78 | May 23, 2026 |
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?No | buy | 37 | $0.950 | $35.15 | May 23, 2026 |
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 8 | $0.955 | $7.64 | May 21, 2026 |
Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 33 | $0.986 | $32.54 | May 21, 2026 |
Will Trump visit China by March 31?No | buy | 104 | $0.976 | $101.5 | Mar 18, 2026 |
Will Phan Văn Giang be the next President of Vietnam?No | buy | 115 | $0.968 | $111.32 | Mar 18, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?No | buy | 103 | $0.983 | $101.25 | Mar 17, 2026 |
Will the Arizona Cardinals win Super Bowl 2026?No | sell | 1 | $0.986 | $0.99 | Jul 16, 2025 |
Will the Arizona Cardinals win Super Bowl 2026?No | buy | 1.93 | $0.986 | $1.9 | May 24, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.72 | $0.987 | $1.7 | May 9, 2025 |
Will Meta have the top AI model on June 30?No | buy | 7 | $0.975 | $6.83 | Apr 20, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?No | sell | 1 | $0.912 | $0.91 | Apr 20, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?No | buy | 8 | $0.913 | $7.3 | Apr 20, 2025 |
Will the Browns draft Travis Hunter?Yes | sell | 9 | $0.873 | $7.86 | Apr 20, 2025 |
Will the Liberal Party win the Canadian election by 9-12%?Yes | buy | 52 | $0.054 | $2.81 | Apr 19, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 125–149 times April 11–18?No | buy | 10 | $0.988 | $9.88 | Apr 17, 2025 |
TikTok sale announced before May?No | buy | 12 | $0.964 | $11.57 | Apr 16, 2025 |
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | buy | 1.93 | $0.983 | $1.9 | Apr 13, 2025 |
Will global temperature increase by between 1.37-1.41ºC in March 2025?No | sell | 14 | $0.959 | $13.43 | Mar 30, 2025 |
Will xAI have the top AI model on March 31?No | sell | 14 | $0.981 | $13.73 | Mar 28, 2025 |
Will xAI have the top AI model on March 31?No | buy | 14 | $0.985 | $13.79 | Mar 28, 2025 |
Arsenal wins the Premier League?No | sell | 14 | $0.966 | $13.52 | Mar 28, 2025 |
Will the New York Rangers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No | sell | 14 | $0.988 | $13.83 | Mar 23, 2025 |
Will the New York Rangers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No | buy | 14 | $0.984 | $13.78 | Mar 16, 2025 |
Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No | buy | 15 | $0.897 | $13.46 | Mar 16, 2025 |
Solana above $145 on March 14?No | buy | 13 | $0.965 | $12.55 | Mar 12, 2025 |
Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No | sell | 9 | $0.898 | $8.08 | Mar 11, 2025 |
Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No | buy | 14 | $0.898 | $12.57 | Mar 10, 2025 |