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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?No | buy | 50 | $0.730 | $36.5 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 300 |
| $0.997 |
| $299.1 |
| Feb 24, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 56.6 | $0.860 | $48.68 | Dec 19, 2025 |
 EU sanctions on Iran by September 30?No | buy | 95.35 | $0.236 | $22.46 | Sep 29, 2025 |
| EU sanctions on Iran by September 30?No | buy | 200 | $0.180 | $36 | Sep 29, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Rodynske by September 30?No | buy | 300 | $0.960 | $288 | Sep 22, 2025 |
 Han Duck-soo in jail by August 15?No | buy | 18 | $0.966 | $17.39 | Aug 11, 2025 |
 India x Pakistan military clash by Friday?No | buy | 40 | $0.938 | $37.52 | Aug 6, 2025 |
 Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by Sunday, July 27?No | buy | 208.33 | $0.960 | $200 | Jul 27, 2025 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 105.15 | $0.951 | $100 | Jul 26, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 105.26 | $0.948 | $99.79 | Jul 26, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 105.26 | $0.950 | $100 | Jul 26, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 103.95 | $0.961 | $99.9 | Jul 25, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 103.95 | $0.962 | $100 | Jul 25, 2025 |
 North Korea missile test by July 15?No | sell | 10.14 | $0.981 | $9.95 | Jul 14, 2025 |
| North Korea missile test by July 15?No | buy | 10.14 | $0.986 | $10 | Jul 14, 2025 |
 Will Rutte say "Trump" during NATO Public Forum Address on June 24?Yes | sell | 20.81 | $0.710 | $14.78 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Iran strike on Israel by Friday?Yes | buy | 204.94 | $0.976 | $200 | Jun 13, 2025 |
 Trump and Elon publicly reconcile by Friday?No | buy | 223.4 | $0.940 | $210 | Jun 12, 2025 |
 Israel military action against Iraq by Friday?No | buy | 230.98 | $0.909 | $210 | Jun 12, 2025 |
 Will Trump return control the National Guard by Friday?No | buy | 212.77 | $0.940 | $200 | Jun 12, 2025 |
 Will Mikie Sherrill win the second most in the New Jersey Governor Democratic Primary?No | buy | 209.71 | $0.954 | $200 | Jun 10, 2025 |
 Will Trump visit Los Angeles by Friday?No | buy | 212.77 | $0.940 | $200 | Jun 10, 2025 |
 Trump deploys Marines to LA protests by Friday?Yes | buy | 102.46 | $0.976 | $100 | Jun 10, 2025 |
| Trump deploys Marines to LA protests by Friday?Yes | buy | 102.46 | $0.976 | $100 | Jun 10, 2025 |
 Italian solidary responsibility of the client, contractor, and subcontractor for injuries referendumNo | sell | 40.81 | $0.999 | $40.77 | Jun 10, 2025 |
 Italian imposition of term limits on employment contracts referendumNo | sell | 81.62 | $0.999 | $81.54 | Jun 10, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on June 9?No | buy | 215.05 | $0.930 | $200 | Jun 9, 2025 |
 Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?Yes | buy | 243.9 | $0.820 | $200 | Jun 9, 2025 |
 Ethereum above $2,700 on June 10?No | buy | 135.03 | $0.940 | $126.93 | Jun 8, 2025 |
 Will Josh Gottheimer win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?No | buy | 122.57 | $0.979 | $120 | Jun 8, 2025 |
| Will Josh Gottheimer win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?No | buy | 183.86 | $0.979 | $180 | Jun 8, 2025 |
| Italian solidary responsibility of the client, contractor, and subcontractor for injuries referendumNo | buy | 40.81 | $0.980 | $40 | Jun 8, 2025 |
| Italian imposition of term limits on employment contracts referendumNo | buy | 81.63 | $0.980 | $80 | Jun 8, 2025 |
 Will Elon apologize to Trump by Monday?No | buy | 217.17 | $0.967 | $210 | Jun 8, 2025 |
 Will xAI have the top AI model on June 30?No | sell | 220.62 | $0.954 | $210.39 | Jun 8, 2025 |
 Trump approval Up or Down this week?Up | sell | 105.37 | $0.998 | $105.16 | Jun 8, 2025 |
 French Open: Sinner vs. DjokovicDjokovic | buy | 20.83 | $0.120 | $2.5 | Jun 6, 2025 |
 Will Trump apologize to Elon by Monday?No | buy | 204.5 | $0.978 | $200 | Jun 6, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on June 4?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.027 | $0.27 | Jun 5, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on June 4?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.034 | $0.34 | Jun 5, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on June 4?No | buy | 102.83 | $0.972 | $100 | Jun 5, 2025 |
| Trump approval Up or Down this week?Up | buy | 94.74 | $0.950 | $90 | Jun 4, 2025 |
 Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the June meeting?Yes | buy | 101.01 | $0.990 | $100 | Jun 4, 2025 |
| Trump approval Up or Down this week?Up | buy | 10.64 | $0.940 | $10 | Jun 4, 2025 |
| Will Mikie Sherrill win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?Yes | buy | 206.19 | $0.970 | $200 | Jun 4, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 205.34 | $0.974 | $200 | Jun 4, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on June 30?No | buy | 220.63 | $0.906 | $200 | Jun 4, 2025 |
| Will Mikie Sherrill win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?Yes | buy | 107.53 | $0.930 | $100 | Jun 4, 2025 |
 Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?Yes | buy | 103.73 | $0.964 | $100 | Jun 3, 2025 |