Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 410 | $0.005 | $2.05 | Mar 1, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 1.8K |
| $0.026 |
| $46.77 |
| Mar 1, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | buy | 900 | $0.021 | $18.9 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 600 | $0.028 | $16.8 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 600 | $0.030 | $18 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | buy | 1K | $0.022 | $22 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | buy | 1K | $0.024 | $23.66 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | buy | 1.2K | $0.024 | $28.8 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | buy | 374.02 | $0.036 | $13.46 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 200 | $0.045 | $9 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 200 | $0.045 | $9 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 300 | $0.045 | $13.5 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 200 | $0.044 | $8.8 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 200 | $0.045 | $9 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 200 | $0.048 | $9.6 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 200 | $0.057 | $11.4 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 200 | $0.058 | $11.6 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 300 | $0.054 | $16.2 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 300 | $0.054 | $16.2 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 100 | $0.370 | $37 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.370 | $3.7 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?No | sell | 10 | $0.990 | $9.9 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: NovemberYes | buy | 40.85 | $0.979 | $40 | Nov 30, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.870 | $17.4 | Nov 30, 2025 |
 Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?No | sell | 20 | $0.974 | $19.48 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No | sell | 30.3 | $0.984 | $29.82 | Nov 23, 2025 |
 Consensys IPO closing market cap above $1B?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.870 | $17.4 | Nov 9, 2025 |
 Solana Up or Down - November 6, 9:00AM-9:15AM ETUp | buy | 10 | $0.200 | $2 | Nov 6, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be less than 25% on November 12?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.892 | $89.21 | Nov 1, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Tariff" 3+ times during Xi events on October 29?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.035 | $3.5 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Solana Up or Down - October 29, 9:45AM-10:00AM ETUp | sell | 10 | $0.990 | $9.9 | Oct 29, 2025 |
 Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 11:00AM-11:15AM ETUp | sell | 15 | $0.950 | $14.25 | Oct 26, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 11:00AM-11:15AM ETUp | buy | 10 | $0.554 | $5.54 | Oct 26, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 11:00AM-11:15AM ETUp | buy | 5 | $0.560 | $2.8 | Oct 26, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 11:00AM-11:15AM ETUp | sell | 10 | $0.586 | $5.86 | Oct 26, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 11:00AM-11:15AM ETUp | buy | 5 | $0.260 | $1.3 | Oct 26, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 11:00AM-11:15AM ETUp | buy | 5 | $0.350 | $1.75 | Oct 26, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 10:30AM-10:45AM ETDown | sell | 12.16 | $0.990 | $12.04 | Oct 26, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 10:30AM-10:45AM ETDown | buy | 12.17 | $0.822 | $10 | Oct 26, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 9:45AM-10:00AM ETDown | sell | 23.31 | $0.990 | $23.08 | Oct 26, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 9:45AM-10:00AM ETDown | buy | 23.31 | $0.858 | $20 | Oct 26, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,000 on October 26?Yes | sell | 2.56 | $0.956 | $2.45 | Oct 26, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,000 on October 26?Yes | buy | 2.56 | $0.390 | $1 | Oct 26, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 11:00AM-11:15AM ETDown | buy | 0.89 | $0.990 | $0.88 | Oct 25, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 11:00AM-11:15AM ETDown | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | Oct 25, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 11:00AM-11:15AM ETDown | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | Oct 25, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 10:45AM-11:00AM ETUp | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Oct 25, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 10:45AM-11:00AM ETUp | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Oct 25, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 10:45AM-11:00AM ETUp | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Oct 25, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 9:30AM-9:45AM ETUp | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Oct 25, 2025 |