Analytics
Yes is at 7%, down 76 points from 83.5% when the market opened on 6 Nov 2025.
Across the 332 daily closes on record from 6 Nov 2025 to 28 Oct 2026 (26 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 92.5% on 7 Nov 2025 and the lowest 3.5% on 26 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 7.6%; a month before, 3.5%. Its largest one-day move was 19 points up, to 45% on 8 May 2026.
It is one of 3 markets under “Consensys IPO closing market cap above ___ ?”.
$85.09 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $258.71K since listing. The order book holds $1.32K, with a 3.8% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $6.12K bought Yes and $4.42K bought No; the largest was a $1.82K sell of Yes at 79.0¢.
The largest Yes position is scuf with 3.9K shares; the largest No position is XieGuangKun with 1.2K. Ten wallets hold 71% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 2:38 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 332 points, 6 Nov 2025 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Nov 2025 | 83.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 7.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| scuf | Yes | 3.89K |
| XieGuangKun | No | 1.24K |
| pcca | No | 695.23 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for Consensys’ market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Consensys’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/consensys-ipo-closing-market-cap-above
| JVW |
| No |
| 587.54 |
| PNP | No | 503.4 |
| acmalaysia | Yes | 500 |
| MaxEnt | No | 498.72 |
| Blaring-Orchard | No | 467.77 |
| 165198989 | No | 421.39 |
| Gleeful-Cloister | No | 411.41 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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