Analytics
Yes is at 6.5%, down 37 points from 43.5% when the market opened on 6 Nov 2025.
The high was 75.5% on 9 Nov 2025 and the low 5.5% on 4 Oct 2026. A week ago Yes was at 7.5%; a month ago, 7%. Its largest one-day move was 19 points down, to 54.5% on 14 Nov 2025.
It is one of 3 markets under “Consensys IPO closing market cap above ___ ?”.
$505 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $33.01K since listing. The order book holds $1.1K, with a 3.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 489 trades, $4.04K bought Yes and $7.32K bought No; the largest was a $1.79K buy of No at 89.5¢.
The largest Yes position is 165198989 with 1.8K shares; the largest No position is MaxEnt with 2.2K. Ten wallets hold 81.6% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 78 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 15, 11:05 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 321 points, 6 Nov 2025 – 15 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Nov 2025 | 43.5% |
| 15 Oct 2026 | 6.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| MaxEnt | No | 2.24K |
| 165198989 | Yes | 1.79K |
| revanchist | No | 975.67 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for Consensys’ market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Consensys’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/consensys-ipo-closing-market-cap-above
| 2B9S |
| Yes |
| 965.89 |
| XieGuangKun | No | 837.09 |
| NicoleAndrews4608 | Yes | 449 |
| Gleeful-Cloister | No | 395.41 |
| uhoh1 | Yes | 355.89 |
| SergeyS | Yes | 354.02 |
| AJSV | Yes | 347.99 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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