Latest trade
Dec 18, 2024 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 27, 8:19 PM UTC.
Analytics
On Polymarket's all-time profit board.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 8 settled positions.
mcarthur is down $10.89 on Polymarket.
Profit and volume as of 2024-12-26 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
Dec 18, 2024 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 27, 8:19 PM UTC.
$1 median trade
Its latest 12 trades covered 11 markets; 100.0% were buys. They run from Oct 23, 2024 UTC to Dec 18, 2024 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after December 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.002 | $0.03 | Dec 18, 2024 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2024-12-26 21:24 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-27 20:19 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
12 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-27 20:19 UTC
polymarket positions
10 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2024-12-26 21:24 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $0.44 and losing ones cost $7.33 across 8 settled positions. 25% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $0.3 on “Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in October?” (Yes); the largest loss, $3 on “Bitcoin above $69,000 on October 25?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 18 Dec 2024. It has traded 11 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 18.75 |
| $0.016 |
| $0.3 |
| Nov 25, 2024 UTC |
 Will Ethereum reach $3,250 in November?Yes | buy | 0.33 | $0.570 | $0.19 | Nov 7, 2024 UTC |
 Ethereum all time high in 2024?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Nov 3, 2024 UTC |
 Will Trump mention $MAGA before Election?Yes | buy | 26.58 | $0.038 | $1 | Oct 29, 2024 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in October?Yes | buy | 1.3 | $0.770 | $1 | Oct 28, 2024 UTC |
 Ethereum above $2,600 on November 1?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | Oct 27, 2024 UTC |
 Will Ethereum hit $10k in 2024?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.020 | $1 | Oct 23, 2024 UTC |
| Ethereum all time high in 2024?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Oct 23, 2024 UTC |
 Bitcoin above $69,000 on October 25?Yes | buy | 13.04 | $0.230 | $3 | Oct 23, 2024 UTC |
| Ethereum above $2,600 on October 25?Yes | buy | 3.39 | $0.590 | $2 | Oct 23, 2024 UTC |
+placed+on+a+vibrant+green+arrow+that's+shooting+upwards%2C+symbolizing+the+rapid+growth+and+bullis.webp) Ethereum all time high in Q4 2024?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Oct 23, 2024 UTC |
1 of 3 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.