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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 England vs. Argentina: England O/U 2.5Over | buy | 339.15 | $0.130 | $44.09 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 49.41 |
| $0.940 |
| $46.45 |
| Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 49.41 | $0.850 | $42 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?Yes | sell | 117.4 | $0.070 | $8.22 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No | sell | 40.81 | $0.840 | $34.28 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 240.46 | $0.488 | $117.4 | May 5, 2026 |
| Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?Yes | sell | 125 | $0.215 | $26.87 | May 5, 2026 |
 Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Yes | sell | 250 | $0.380 | $95.04 | May 5, 2026 |
| Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.600 | $150 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will Google Gemini score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Yes | buy | 43.48 | $0.230 | $10 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.120 | $15 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes | buy | 127.84 | $0.220 | $28.13 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 GPT-5.5 released by April 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 43.12 | $0.858 | $37 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| GPT-5.5 released by April 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 162.53 | $0.738 | $120 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 36.92 | $0.650 | $24 | Feb 21, 2026 |
 Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | sell | 97.02 | $0.016 | $1.56 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | sell | 224.67 | $0.090 | $20.22 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | buy | 199.67 | $0.300 | $60 | Feb 11, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 22.73 | $0.220 | $5 | Feb 10, 2026 |
 U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by February 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 22.47 | $0.890 | $20 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?No | buy | 15.15 | $0.330 | $5 | Feb 8, 2026 |
 LoL: Team Heretics vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular SeasonTeam Heretics | buy | 7.69 | $0.260 | $2 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular SeasonMovistar KOI | buy | 13.56 | $0.590 | $8 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| LoL: Team Vitality vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular SeasonLos Ratones | buy | 7.5 | $0.400 | $3 | Feb 8, 2026 |
 Seahawks vs. PatriotsPatriots | buy | 15.63 | $0.320 | $5 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | buy | 97.02 | $0.052 | $5 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.200 | $5 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?Yes | buy | 117.41 | $0.170 | $20 | Feb 8, 2026 |
 Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 32.57 | $0.614 | $20 | Feb 8, 2026 |
 Will DtMF by Bad Bunny be the Billboard #1 song for the week of February 14?Yes | buy | 64.12 | $0.047 | $3 | Feb 8, 2026 |
 Will Bad Bunny say "Fuck ICE" at the Big Game?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.070 | $2 | Feb 8, 2026 |
 Will Verizon/Visible run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?Yes | buy | 15.22 | $0.263 | $4 | Feb 8, 2026 |
 Will Allstate run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?No | buy | 56.34 | $0.710 | $40 | Feb 8, 2026 |
 Will Hyundai run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?Yes | buy | 89.11 | $0.090 | $8 | Feb 8, 2026 |
 Will Coinbase run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?No | buy | 26.32 | $0.380 | $10 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?Yes | sell | 48 | $0.050 | $2.4 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 48 | $0.250 | $12 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 US government shutdown Saturday?No | sell | 106.67 | $0.110 | $11.73 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 18.18 | $0.330 | $6 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 85.71 | $0.350 | $30 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | sell | 83.33 | $0.017 | $1.42 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 88.23 | $0.100 | $8.82 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 371.93 | $0.070 | $26.04 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 2.78 | $0.360 | $1 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No | sell | 59.91 | $0.027 | $1.62 | Jan 23, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 48.83 | $0.164 | $8 | Jan 23, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 53.76 | $0.093 | $5 | Jan 20, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.009 | $1 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 25.42 | $0.590 | $15 | Jan 14, 2026 |