Latest trade
Dec 10, 2025 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 27, 5:53 AM UTC.
Analytics
karbonbased is down $13.65K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2025-11-22 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Dec 10, 2025 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 27, 5:53 AM UTC.
$12.19 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 5 markets; 98.0% were buys. They run from Oct 25, 2025 UTC to Dec 10, 2025 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 1.82K | $0.781 | $1.69K | +$262.49 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 18K | $0.025 | $450 | Dec 10, 2025 UTC |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2025-11-22 18:19 UTC
Polymarket public position response
1 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-27 05:53 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-27 05:53 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2025-11-22 18:19 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $45.06K and losing ones cost $49.19K across the latest 50 settled positions. 48% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $5.38K on “Will Donald Trump say "Reagan" during his North Carolina speech?” (No); the largest loss, $8.86K on “Will Kamala Harris say "abortion" during DNC speech?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 10 Dec 2025. It has traded 145 markets. Its open positions are worth $1.69K across 1 market.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| sell |
| 15.5K |
| $0.032 |
| $501.07 |
| Dec 10, 2025 UTC |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 9.98K | $0.039 | $389.33 | Dec 10, 2025 UTC |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 164.3 | $0.039 | $6.41 | Dec 10, 2025 UTC |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 81.6 | $0.039 | $3.18 | Dec 10, 2025 UTC |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 3.43 | $0.039 | $0.13 | Dec 10, 2025 UTC |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.039 | $0.04 | Dec 10, 2025 UTC |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.039 | $0.04 | Dec 10, 2025 UTC |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 980.09 | $0.039 | $38.22 | Dec 10, 2025 UTC |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 10.54 | $0.039 | $0.41 | Dec 10, 2025 UTC |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 942.56 | $0.039 | $36.76 | Dec 10, 2025 UTC |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 5.2 | $0.039 | $0.2 | Dec 10, 2025 UTC |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 942.31 | $0.039 | $36.75 | Dec 10, 2025 UTC |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.039 | $0.04 | Dec 10, 2025 UTC |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 10.96 | $0.039 | $0.43 | Dec 10, 2025 UTC |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 200.24 | $0.039 | $7.81 | Dec 10, 2025 UTC |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.039 | $0.04 | Dec 10, 2025 UTC |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 2.17K | $0.039 | $84.66 | Dec 10, 2025 UTC |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.039 | $0.04 | Dec 10, 2025 UTC |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo | buy | 216.06 | $0.700 | $151.24 | Dec 9, 2025 UTC |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo | buy | 300 | $0.750 | $225 | Dec 9, 2025 UTC |
 Nikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by December 31?Yes | buy | 3.67K | $0.060 | $220.12 | Dec 8, 2025 UTC |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo | buy | 57.74 | $0.800 | $46.19 | Dec 7, 2025 UTC |
| Nikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by December 31?Yes | buy | 106.38 | $0.060 | $6.38 | Dec 6, 2025 UTC |
| Nikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by December 31?Yes | buy | 334.04 | $0.060 | $20.04 | Dec 5, 2025 UTC |
| Nikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by December 31?Yes | buy | 17.02 | $0.060 | $1.02 | Dec 4, 2025 UTC |
| Nikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by December 31?Yes | buy | 85.22 | $0.060 | $5.11 | Dec 3, 2025 UTC |
| Nikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by December 31?Yes | buy | 4.4 | $0.060 | $0.26 | Nov 30, 2025 UTC |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo | buy | 70.31 | $0.800 | $56.25 | Nov 29, 2025 UTC |
| Nikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by December 31?Yes | buy | 618.5 | $0.060 | $37.11 | Nov 28, 2025 UTC |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo | buy | 71.95 | $0.800 | $57.56 | Nov 27, 2025 UTC |
| Nikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by December 31?Yes | buy | 165.67 | $0.060 | $9.94 | Nov 25, 2025 UTC |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo | buy | 200 | $0.800 | $160 | Nov 23, 2025 UTC |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo | buy | 18.05 | $0.800 | $14.44 | Nov 23, 2025 UTC |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo | buy | 207.56 | $0.810 | $168.12 | Nov 22, 2025 UTC |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo | buy | 681.95 | $0.800 | $545.56 | Nov 22, 2025 UTC |
| Nikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by December 31?Yes | buy | 5.43 | $0.080 | $0.43 | Nov 21, 2025 UTC |
| Nikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by December 31?Yes | buy | 3.7 | $0.080 | $0.3 | Nov 21, 2025 UTC |
| Nikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by December 31?Yes | buy | 10.87 | $0.080 | $0.87 | Nov 19, 2025 UTC |
| Nikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.09 | $0.080 | $0.09 | Nov 15, 2025 UTC |
| Nikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by December 31?Yes | buy | 10.87 | $0.080 | $0.87 | Nov 15, 2025 UTC |
| Nikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by December 31?Yes | buy | 9.78 | $0.080 | $0.78 | Nov 14, 2025 UTC |
| Nikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by December 31?Yes | buy | 193.67 | $0.080 | $15.49 | Nov 13, 2025 UTC |
 SBF released from custody in 2025?No | buy | 102.95 | $0.891 | $91.73 | Nov 4, 2025 UTC |
 Will Sora by OpenAI be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 31?Yes | buy | 1.02K | $0.450 | $458.1 | Oct 27, 2025 UTC |
| Will Sora by OpenAI be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 31?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.450 | $9 | Oct 27, 2025 UTC |
| Will Sora by OpenAI be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 31?Yes | buy | 461.99 | $0.450 | $207.9 | Oct 27, 2025 UTC |
| SBF released from custody in 2025?No | buy | 466.95 | $0.902 | $421.19 | Oct 25, 2025 UTC |
| Will Sora by OpenAI be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 31?Yes | buy | 54.63 | $0.530 | $28.95 | Oct 25, 2025 UTC |
| Will Sora by OpenAI be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 31?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.530 | $3.71 | Oct 25, 2025 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 4 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.