Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.4%. Yes opened at 45% on 15 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 80 daily closes on record from 15 Oct 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 45% on 15 Oct 2025 and the lowest 0.6% on 1 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 32 points down, to 13% on 16 Oct 2025. $232.14K traded over the market's life.
103 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 8:33 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 80 points, 15 Oct 2025 – 1 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Oct 2025 | 45.0% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| RedRunner | Yes | 10.35K |
| fdfjsdf | Yes | 8.01K |
| karbonbased | Yes | 6.97K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nikita Bier ceases to be Head of Product of X for any length of time between October 14, and December 31, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of Nikita Bier's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from X and/or Nikita Bier, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nikita-bier-out-as-head-of-product-at-x-by-december-31
| Yes |
| 2.35K |
| Silace | Yes | 1.1K |
| 0xgingergirl | Yes | 1K |
| BullyMarket | Yes | 999.99 |
| ZacksD | Yes | 999.99 |
| BigFax404 | Yes | 948.68 |
| Productive-Hurdler | Yes | 902.68 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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