Latest trade
Jun 25, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 23, 11:46 PM UTC.
Analytics
elspeth617jorja has made $16.86 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-07-16 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Jun 25, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 23, 11:46 PM UTC.
$17.81 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 11 markets; 42.0% were buys. They run from Jun 18, 2026 UTC to Jun 25, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | No | 0.48 | $0.730 | $0.46 | +$0.11 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 126 | $0.088 | $11.09 | Jun 25, 2026 UTC |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-07-16 00:11 UTC
Polymarket public position response
4 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-23 23:46 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-23 23:46 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-07-16 00:11 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $57.95 and losing ones cost $41.09 across the latest 50 settled positions. 44% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $22 on “Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?” (Yes); the largest loss, $10.98 on “Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 25 Jun 2026. It has traded 108 markets. Its open positions are worth $0.67 across 4 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 0.89 |
| $0.420 |
| $0.18 |
| -$0.19 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Yes | 0.16 | $0.280 | $0.02 | -$0.03 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 0.29 | $0.089 | $0.01 | -$0.02 |
| sell |
| 21 |
| $0.088 |
| $1.85 |
| Jun 25, 2026 UTC |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 147 | $0.081 | $11.91 | Jun 25, 2026 UTC |
| Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 70 | $0.969 | $67.83 | Jun 25, 2026 UTC |
| Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 33 | $0.969 | $31.98 | Jun 25, 2026 UTC |
| Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 96 | $0.969 | $93.02 | Jun 25, 2026 UTC |
| Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 7 | $0.969 | $6.78 | Jun 25, 2026 UTC |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 31 | $0.480 | $14.88 | Jun 24, 2026 UTC |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 41 | $0.480 | $19.68 | Jun 24, 2026 UTC |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 44 | $0.480 | $21.12 | Jun 24, 2026 UTC |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 61 | $0.480 | $29.28 | Jun 24, 2026 UTC |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 16 | $0.480 | $7.68 | Jun 24, 2026 UTC |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 177 | $0.480 | $84.96 | Jun 24, 2026 UTC |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 16 | $0.480 | $7.68 | Jun 24, 2026 UTC |
 Trump out as President before 2027?Yes | sell | 17 | $0.100 | $1.7 | Jun 23, 2026 UTC |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Yes | buy | 17 | $0.100 | $1.7 | Jun 22, 2026 UTC |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.015 | $0.3 | Jun 21, 2026 UTC |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 96.39 | $0.011 | $1.06 | Jun 21, 2026 UTC |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.013 | $0.91 | Jun 21, 2026 UTC |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 47 | $0.013 | $0.61 | Jun 21, 2026 UTC |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 154 | $0.270 | $41.58 | Jun 21, 2026 UTC |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 154 | $0.280 | $43.12 | Jun 21, 2026 UTC |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No | sell | 129 | $0.740 | $95.46 | Jun 20, 2026 UTC |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No | sell | 16 | $0.740 | $11.84 | Jun 20, 2026 UTC |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No | buy | 5 | $0.740 | $3.7 | Jun 20, 2026 UTC |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No | buy | 57 | $0.740 | $42.18 | Jun 20, 2026 UTC |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No | buy | 83 | $0.740 | $61.42 | Jun 20, 2026 UTC |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 141 | $0.740 | $104.34 | Jun 20, 2026 UTC |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 141 | $0.740 | $104.34 | Jun 20, 2026 UTC |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes | sell | 65 | $0.250 | $16.25 | Jun 20, 2026 UTC |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes | sell | 49 | $0.250 | $12.25 | Jun 20, 2026 UTC |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes | buy | 114 | $0.270 | $30.78 | Jun 20, 2026 UTC |
 Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Yes | sell | 145 | $0.160 | $23.2 | Jun 20, 2026 UTC |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Yes | buy | 145 | $0.160 | $23.2 | Jun 20, 2026 UTC |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No | sell | 37 | $0.936 | $34.63 | Jun 19, 2026 UTC |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No | sell | 68 | $0.936 | $63.65 | Jun 19, 2026 UTC |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No | sell | 12 | $0.936 | $11.23 | Jun 19, 2026 UTC |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 107 | $0.924 | $98.87 | Jun 19, 2026 UTC |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 10 | $0.924 | $9.24 | Jun 19, 2026 UTC |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No | sell | 134 | $0.888 | $118.99 | Jun 19, 2026 UTC |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 134 | $0.907 | $121.54 | Jun 19, 2026 UTC |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 168 | $0.720 | $120.96 | Jun 19, 2026 UTC |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 168 | $0.720 | $120.96 | Jun 19, 2026 UTC |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.080 | $0.8 | Jun 18, 2026 UTC |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.080 | $0.4 | Jun 18, 2026 UTC |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | sell | 144 | $0.080 | $11.52 | Jun 18, 2026 UTC |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | sell | 83 | $0.080 | $6.64 | Jun 18, 2026 UTC |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 242 | $0.080 | $19.36 | Jun 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 121 | $0.116 | $14.04 | Jun 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 121 | $0.114 | $13.79 | Jun 18, 2026 UTC |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.