Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alberta join the US? | Yes | 0.85 | $0.045 | $0.02 | -$0.02 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No | buy | 1 | $0.750 | $0.75 | Jun 21, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 10 |
| $0.750 |
| $7.5 |
| Jun 20, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes | sell | 37 | $0.270 | $9.99 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes | buy | 37 | $0.260 | $9.62 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.820 | $8.2 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?No | buy | 46 | $0.830 | $38.18 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 39 | $0.080 | $3.12 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 44 | $0.870 | $38.28 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No | sell | 6 | $0.947 | $5.68 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 6 | $0.952 | $5.71 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 42 | $0.972 | $40.82 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 36 | $0.090 | $3.24 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | sell | 57 | $0.090 | $5.13 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 57 | $0.090 | $5.13 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 29 | $0.037 | $1.07 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 38 | $0.985 | $37.43 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.045 | $0.27 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | buy | 6.85 | $0.045 | $0.31 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No | sell | 8 | $0.810 | $6.48 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No | buy | 8 | $0.820 | $6.56 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No | buy | 38 | $0.810 | $30.78 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | sell | 76 | $0.550 | $41.8 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 76 | $0.550 | $41.8 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | sell | 43 | $0.954 | $41.02 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 43 | $0.953 | $40.98 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | sell | 54 | $0.700 | $37.8 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | buy | 54 | $0.700 | $37.8 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by June 30?No | sell | 43 | $0.965 | $41.5 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30?No | buy | 43 | $0.961 | $41.32 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.550 | $5.5 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 68 | $0.550 | $37.4 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes | buy | 23 | $0.022 | $0.51 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No | sell | 11 | $0.987 | $10.86 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No | buy | 11 | $0.987 | $10.86 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 41 | $0.230 | $9.43 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | buy | 79 | $0.044 | $3.48 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | sell | 38 | $0.972 | $36.94 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 51 | $0.460 | $23.46 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Will the San Diego Padres win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 20 | $0.940 | $18.8 | Sep 25, 2025 |
 Will the Washington Commanders win Super Bowl 2026?No | sell | 16 | $0.974 | $15.58 | Sep 25, 2025 |
 Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?Yes | sell | 2 | $0.015 | $0.03 | Sep 25, 2025 |
| Will the Washington Commanders win Super Bowl 2026?No | buy | 16 | $0.976 | $15.62 | Sep 25, 2025 |
 Will the highest temperature in New York City be 80°F or higher on September 25?No | sell | 16 | $0.993 | $15.89 | Sep 25, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | sell | 17 | $0.877 | $14.91 | Sep 25, 2025 |
| Will the San Diego Padres win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 20 | $0.956 | $19.12 | Sep 25, 2025 |
 Will the Sacramento Kings win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | buy | 20 | $0.991 | $19.82 | Sep 24, 2025 |
 Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 13 | $0.988 | $12.84 | Sep 24, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum reach $5000 in September?No | buy | 8 | $0.981 | $7.85 | Sep 24, 2025 |
 Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No | sell | 7 | $0.987 | $6.91 | Sep 24, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | sell | 16 | $0.878 | $14.05 | Sep 23, 2025 |