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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alberta join the US? | Yes | 0.68 | $0.031 | $0.01 | -$0.01 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.900 | $9 | Jun 25, 2026 |
|
| sell |
| 17 |
| $0.890 |
| $15.13 |
| Jun 25, 2026 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 27 | $0.880 | $23.76 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No | sell | 42 | $0.520 | $21.84 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No | buy | 21.45 | $0.550 | $11.8 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026?No | sell | 29 | $0.800 | $23.2 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?No | buy | 29 | $0.810 | $23.49 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 20.45 | $0.490 | $10.02 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?No | sell | 43 | $0.940 | $40.42 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?No | buy | 43 | $0.940 | $40.42 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 43 | $0.953 | $40.98 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | sell | 7 | $0.054 | $0.38 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 36 | $0.055 | $1.98 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 59 | $0.470 | $27.73 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.090 | $1.8 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 102 | $0.090 | $9.18 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 44 | $0.934 | $41.1 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 44 | $0.937 | $41.23 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.140 | $11.2 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 43 | $0.953 | $40.98 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 14 | $0.058 | $0.81 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 79 | $0.140 | $11.06 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | sell | 74 | $0.540 | $39.96 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 62 | $0.550 | $34.1 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | sell | 17 | $0.190 | $3.23 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 26 | $0.930 | $24.18 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 26 | $0.910 | $23.66 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | sell | 40 | $0.980 | $39.2 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | buy | 14.38 | $0.985 | $14.16 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 80 | $0.550 | $44 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 80 | $0.550 | $44 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?No | buy | 6 | $0.780 | $4.68 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 9?Yes | buy | 53 | $0.041 | $2.17 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | sell | 121 | $0.290 | $35.09 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 129 | $0.290 | $37.41 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 11 | $0.016 | $0.18 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 5 | $0.420 | $2.1 | May 30, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 55 | $0.410 | $22.55 | May 30, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 48 | $0.430 | $20.64 | May 29, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 88 | $0.430 | $37.84 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 40 | $0.958 | $38.32 | May 29, 2026 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 74 | $0.580 | $42.92 | May 28, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?No | buy | 44 | $0.882 | $38.81 | May 27, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 23 | $0.306 | $7.04 | May 27, 2026 |
 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 44 | $0.045 | $1.98 | May 26, 2026 |
 Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | sell | 38 | $0.983 | $37.35 | May 26, 2026 |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 38 | $0.984 | $37.39 | May 26, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 62 | $0.700 | $43.4 | May 26, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 62 | $0.700 | $43.4 | May 26, 2026 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No | sell | 44 | $0.986 | $43.38 | May 25, 2026 |