Latest trade
Jun 16, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 23, 4:17 PM UTC.
Analytics
arnoldmarisa is down $2.45 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 37 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-05-24 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Jun 16, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 23, 4:17 PM UTC.
$3.2 median trade
Its latest 41 trades covered 39 markets; 95.1% were buys. They run from Nov 20, 2025 UTC to Jun 16, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 18?No | buy | 5.95 | $0.988 | $5.88 | Jun 16, 2026 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-05-24 23:33 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-23 16:17 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
41 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-23 16:17 UTC
polymarket positions
39 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-05-24 23:33 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $2.52 and losing ones cost $5.04 across 37 settled positions. 94.6% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $0.53 on “Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $84,000 on December 17?” (No); the largest loss, $5.04 on “Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 16 Jun 2026. It has traded 39 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 3.42 |
| $0.997 |
| $3.41 |
| Jun 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 23?Yes | buy | 4.36 | $0.938 | $4.09 | May 23, 2026 UTC |
 Will the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on March 9?No | buy | 4.67 | $0.997 | $4.66 | Mar 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $58,000 on February 24?No | buy | 3.76 | $0.992 | $3.73 | Feb 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of XRP be above $1.70 on February 22?No | buy | 3.66 | $0.998 | $3.65 | Feb 21, 2026 UTC |
 Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 5.04K | $0.992 | $5K | Jan 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 5.04K | $0.993 | $5.01K | Jan 13, 2026 UTC |
 Will Dilan Yeşilgöz-Zegerius become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?No | sell | 2.7 | $0.997 | $2.69 | Jan 5, 2026 UTC |
| Will Dilan Yeşilgöz-Zegerius become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?No | buy | 2.71 | $0.998 | $2.7 | Dec 30, 2025 UTC |
 Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 by December 31?No | buy | 2.95 | $0.999 | $2.95 | Dec 30, 2025 UTC |
 Putin out as President of Russia in 2025?No | buy | 3.21 | $0.998 | $3.2 | Dec 30, 2025 UTC |
 Will XRP reach $3.50 before 2026?No | buy | 2.96 | $0.998 | $2.95 | Dec 30, 2025 UTC |
 Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?No | buy | 3.07 | $0.998 | $3.06 | Dec 29, 2025 UTC |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,200 and $3,300 on December 28?No | buy | 2.62 | $0.997 | $2.61 | Dec 27, 2025 UTC |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,300 and $3,400 on December 28?No | buy | 2.63 | $0.998 | $2.62 | Dec 27, 2025 UTC |
| Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on December 28?No | buy | 2.75 | $0.998 | $2.74 | Dec 26, 2025 UTC |
| Will the price of Solana be above $100 on December 28?Yes | buy | 3.46 | $0.999 | $3.46 | Dec 26, 2025 UTC |
| Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on December 28?Yes | buy | 2.49 | $0.999 | $2.49 | Dec 25, 2025 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on December 21?No | buy | 4 | $0.998 | $3.99 | Dec 21, 2025 UTC |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,200 and $3,300 on December 21?No | buy | 3.47 | $0.998 | $3.46 | Dec 21, 2025 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 21?No | buy | 2.21 | $0.999 | $2.21 | Dec 21, 2025 UTC |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on December 21?No | buy | 2.64 | $0.996 | $2.63 | Dec 21, 2025 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on December 17?Yes | buy | 3.11 | $0.950 | $2.95 | Dec 16, 2025 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $84,000 on December 17?No | buy | 3.78 | $0.860 | $3.25 | Dec 16, 2025 UTC |
| Will the price of Solana be less than $90 on December 17?No | buy | 2.49 | $0.998 | $2.49 | Dec 15, 2025 UTC |
| Will the price of Solana be above $100 on December 17?Yes | buy | 2.37 | $0.998 | $2.37 | Dec 15, 2025 UTC |
| Will the price of Solana be above $180 on December 17?No | buy | 3.63 | $0.999 | $3.63 | Dec 15, 2025 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on December 5?No | buy | 3.88 | $0.880 | $3.41 | Dec 5, 2025 UTC |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on December 5?No | buy | 2.98 | $0.855 | $2.55 | Dec 4, 2025 UTC |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,300 and $3,400 on December 5?No | buy | 2.96 | $0.849 | $2.51 | Dec 4, 2025 UTC |
| Will the price of Solana be above $170 on December 5?No | buy | 2.64 | $0.996 | $2.63 | Dec 3, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in November?No | buy | 3.29 | $0.999 | $3.29 | Nov 28, 2025 UTC |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,400 in November?No | buy | 3.7 | $0.998 | $3.69 | Nov 28, 2025 UTC |
| Will Ethereum reach $7,000 in November?No | buy | 2.72 | $0.999 | $2.72 | Nov 28, 2025 UTC |
 Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $260 end of November?No | buy | 2.28 | $0.998 | $2.28 | Nov 27, 2025 UTC |
| Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $270 end of November?No | buy | 2.65 | $0.997 | $2.64 | Nov 26, 2025 UTC |
| Will the price of XRP be between $2.40 and $2.50 on November 23?No | buy | 4.28 | $0.996 | $4.26 | Nov 22, 2025 UTC |
| Will the price of Solana be between $170 and $180 on November 23?No | buy | 3.71 | $0.996 | $3.7 | Nov 22, 2025 UTC |
| Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on November 21?No | buy | 3.28 | $0.992 | $3.25 | Nov 21, 2025 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $98,000 and $100,000 on November 21?No | buy | 4.26 | $0.998 | $4.25 | Nov 20, 2025 UTC |
1 of 3 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.