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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 800 | $0.014 | $11.12 | Apr 17, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 350 |
| $0.184 |
| $64.57 |
| Apr 8, 2025 |
 Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 850 | $0.070 | $59.5 | Apr 8, 2025 |
 Will Alibaba have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 1.5K | $0.049 | $73.02 | Apr 8, 2025 |
 Will Alibaba have the top AI model on June 30?Yes | sell | 531.56 | $0.023 | $12.28 | Apr 7, 2025 |
 Will Meta have the top AI model on June 30?Yes | sell | 1.63K | $0.053 | $86.73 | Apr 7, 2025 |
| Will Meta have the top AI model on June 30?Yes | sell | 910 | $0.063 | $57.51 | Apr 6, 2025 |
| Will Alibaba have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | sell | 485.8 | $0.015 | $7.42 | Apr 6, 2025 |
 Will xAI have the top AI model on June 30?Yes | sell | 110 | $0.170 | $18.7 | Apr 6, 2025 |
| Will Meta have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.071 | $35.6 | Apr 6, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 800 | $0.039 | $31.2 | Apr 6, 2025 |
| Will Meta have the top AI model on June 30?Yes | sell | 900 | $0.066 | $59.4 | Apr 6, 2025 |
| Will Meta have the top AI model on June 30?Yes | sell | 625.68 | $0.074 | $46.09 | Apr 5, 2025 |
| Will Meta have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.071 | $7.1 | Apr 5, 2025 |
| Will Meta have the top AI model on June 30?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.070 | $35 | Apr 5, 2025 |
| Will Alibaba have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | sell | 275.07 | $0.013 | $3.58 | Apr 5, 2025 |
 Will inflation reach more than 8% in 2025?Yes | sell | 80 | $0.051 | $4.08 | Apr 5, 2025 |
 Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | sell | 588.84 | $0.258 | $152.21 | Apr 5, 2025 |
| Will Meta have the top AI model on June 30?Yes | sell | 71.2 | $0.072 | $5.13 | Apr 5, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?Yes | sell | 180.85 | $0.230 | $41.6 | Apr 3, 2025 |
| Will Alibaba have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | sell | 139.95 | $0.035 | $4.9 | Mar 24, 2025 |
| Will Alibaba have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.034 | $0.34 | Mar 22, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on June 30?Yes | buy | 110 | $0.329 | $36.19 | Mar 22, 2025 |
| Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.050 | $25 | Mar 22, 2025 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | sell | 778.59 | $0.030 | $23.36 | Mar 22, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on June 30?Yes | sell | 149.38 | $0.190 | $28.38 | Mar 16, 2025 |
| Will Meta have the top AI model on June 30?Yes | sell | 61.84 | $0.048 | $2.99 | Mar 16, 2025 |
 Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?Yes | sell | 203.12 | $0.200 | $40.62 | Mar 1, 2025 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | sell | 815.34 | $0.080 | $65.23 | Feb 25, 2025 |
| Will Alibaba have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.037 | $1.12 | Feb 25, 2025 |
| Will Alibaba have the top AI model on June 30?Yes | buy | 306.39 | $0.019 | $5.75 | Feb 25, 2025 |
 Will Anthropic have the top AI model on June 30?Yes | sell | 578.49 | $0.111 | $64.04 | Feb 25, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on June 30?Yes | buy | 149.38 | $0.150 | $22.41 | Feb 25, 2025 |
| Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on June 30?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.071 | $3.55 | Feb 25, 2025 |
| Will Alibaba have the top AI model on June 30?Yes | buy | 133.34 | $0.017 | $2.27 | Feb 25, 2025 |
| Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 435 | $0.140 | $60.9 | Feb 25, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | buy | 120 | $0.640 | $76.8 | Feb 25, 2025 |
 DeepSeek banned in US before April?Yes | sell | 51.18 | $0.034 | $1.76 | Feb 25, 2025 |
| Will Anthropic have the top AI model on June 30?Yes | sell | 184.06 | $0.151 | $27.77 | Feb 25, 2025 |
| Will Alibaba have the top AI model on June 30?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.010 | $0.1 | Feb 20, 2025 |
 Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?Yes | sell | 175.44 | $0.790 | $138.6 | Feb 18, 2025 |
 Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE before July?Yes | sell | 70 | $0.810 | $56.7 | Feb 18, 2025 |
| Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.080 | $40 | Feb 16, 2025 |
| Will Meta have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.033 | $0.66 | Feb 16, 2025 |
| Will Alibaba have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 274.28 | $0.029 | $7.95 | Feb 16, 2025 |
 Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 230 | $0.025 | $5.75 | Feb 14, 2025 |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 778.59 | $0.045 | $35.04 | Feb 14, 2025 |
| DeepSeek banned in US before April?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.025 | $0.25 | Feb 14, 2025 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 490 | $0.180 | $88.2 | Feb 14, 2025 |
| Will inflation reach more than 8% in 2025?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.028 | $2.24 | Feb 13, 2025 |