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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 20 | $0.750 | $18.7 | +$3.7 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.241 | $2.41 | 13d ago |
 |
| No |
| 10 |
| $0.740 |
| $9.55 |
| +$2.15 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | No | 10 | $0.680 | $9.15 | +$2.35 |
 Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 10 | $0.545 | $5.73 | +$0.28 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | 6.61 | $0.612 | $5.72 | +$1.67 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 10 | $0.366 | $5.03 | +$1.37 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 5 | $0.830 | $4.92 | +$0.77 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | 5 | $0.740 | $4.7 | +$1 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | 5 | $0.620 | $4.63 | +$1.53 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | No | 5 | $0.700 | $4.48 | +$0.98 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 15.99 | $0.224 | $3.85 | +$0.27 |
 Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? | Yes | 5 | $0.500 | $3.03 | +$0.53 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 5 | $0.410 | $2.23 | +$0.18 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 14.02 | $0.237 | $2.03 | -$1.3 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 5 | $0.600 | $1.68 | -$1.33 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | 5 | $0.870 | $1.03 | -$3.33 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 9.99 | $0.395 | $0.95 | -$3 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | No | 5 | $0.213 | $0.76 | -$0.31 |
 Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | Yes | 5 | $0.410 | $0.58 | -$1.48 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | Yes | 5 | $0.700 | $0.4 | -$3.1 |
 Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Yes | 6 | $0.190 | $0.33 | -$0.81 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 1.75 | $0.570 | $0.25 | -$0.75 |
| buy |
| 5 |
| $0.600 |
| $3 |
| 13d ago |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.565 | $2.82 | 13d ago |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.525 | $2.63 | 28d ago |
 Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.410 | $2.05 | 28d ago |
 Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.780 | $3.9 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.410 | $2.05 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.320 | $1.6 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.450 | $2.25 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.170 | $1.02 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.420 | $2.1 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.213 | $1.07 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceFrance | buy | 5 | $0.600 | $3 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.390 | $1.95 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.380 | $1.9 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.99 | $0.470 | $2.35 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.250 | $1.25 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.870 | $4.35 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.233 | $1.17 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.280 | $1.4 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | buy | 5 | $0.420 | $2.1 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.610 | $3.05 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? AND Will Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw? AND Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw? | buy | 32.26 | $0.031 | $1 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 1.61 | $0.620 | $1 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.580 | $2.9 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 4.99 | $0.470 | $2.35 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.520 | $2.6 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?No | buy | 5 | $0.610 | $3.05 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.700 | $3.5 | May 26, 2026 |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.190 | $1.14 | May 26, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.85 | $0.540 | $1 | May 21, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 4.02 | $0.249 | $1 | May 21, 2026 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.75 | $0.570 | $1 | May 21, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?No | buy | 5 | $0.370 | $1.85 | May 18, 2026 |
 US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?No | buy | 5 | $0.430 | $2.15 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?No | buy | 5 | $0.410 | $2.05 | May 16, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.740 | $7.4 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.366 | $3.66 | May 13, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.460 | $2.3 | May 13, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ETDown | buy | 25 | $0.200 | $5 | May 13, 2026 |
 Starmer out by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.350 | $1.75 | May 11, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.660 | $6.6 | May 11, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.590 | $2.95 | May 8, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.280 | $1.4 | May 8, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.670 | $3.35 | Feb 22, 2026 |
 Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,700 by end of June?No | buy | 5 | $0.490 | $2.45 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?No | buy | 5 | $0.201 | $1.01 | Feb 22, 2026 |
 Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-18?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.500 | $2.5 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.430 | $2.87 | Feb 9, 2026 |