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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 3.34 | $0.410 | $2.59 | +$1.22 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.520 | $2 | 6d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 3.85 |
| $0.520 |
| $0.87 |
| -$1.13 |
| buy |
| 4.08 |
| $0.490 |
| $2 |
| 9d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 3.34 | $0.410 | $1.37 | 10d ago |
 Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 55.0 and 55.9 in August?No | buy | 3.28 | $0.610 | $2 | 14d ago |
 Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by September 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.35 | $0.740 | $1.74 | 15d ago |
 Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in August?No | buy | 3.39 | $0.590 | $2 | 15d ago |
 Will Trump say "Russia" or "Russian" during remarks at NASA?No | buy | 2.82 | $0.710 | $2 | 17d ago |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?No | buy | 2.5 | $0.800 | $2 | 21d ago |
 Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.340 | $2 | 21d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?Yes | buy | 3.39 | $0.590 | $2 | 24d ago |
 Will the Bank of Korea hike by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 3.92 | $0.510 | $2 | 24d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?No | buy | 2.9 | $0.690 | $2 | 24d ago |
 Will USD be between 1.8M and 1.9M Iranian rials on August 31?Yes | buy | 4.65 | $0.430 | $2 | 25d ago |
 Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 2.9 | $0.690 | $2 | 27d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?No | buy | 2.7 | $0.740 | $2 | 28d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.300 | $2 | Aug 14, 2026 |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.240 | $2 | Aug 14, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?No | buy | 2.53 | $0.790 | $2 | Aug 13, 2026 |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $82 on August 13?Yes | buy | 5.13 | $0.390 | $2 | Aug 13, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Kamala" during remarks in New York?No | buy | 1.9 | $0.620 | $1.18 | Aug 13, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Crazy" during remarks in New York?No | buy | 6.67 | $0.300 | $2 | Aug 12, 2026 |
 Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.64 | $0.550 | $2 | Aug 11, 2026 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?No | buy | 2.99 | $0.670 | $2 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?No | buy | 2.6 | $0.770 | $2 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July?No | buy | 5.88 | $0.340 | $2 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.52 | $0.210 | $2 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?No | buy | 3.57 | $0.560 | $2 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.440 | $2 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will 200-219 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 3-August 9?No | buy | 3.08 | $0.650 | $2 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Beautiful" 15+ times during remarks in Las Vegas?No | buy | 3.39 | $0.590 | $2 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Yes | buy | 2.5 | $0.800 | $2 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Yes | buy | 2.94 | $0.680 | $2 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?No | buy | 6.25 | $0.320 | $2 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.06 | $0.330 | $2 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.520 | $2 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?Yes | buy | 2.94 | $0.680 | $2 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.05 | $0.390 | $1.19 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 3.82 | $0.510 | $1.95 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.240 | $2 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will Warsh say "Restrictive" during July Press Conference?No | buy | 3 | $0.420 | $1.26 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 3.82 | $0.510 | $1.95 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in July 2026?No | buy | 3.03 | $0.663 | $2.01 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Save America Act" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?Yes | buy | 3.05 | $0.620 | $1.89 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No | buy | 2.03 | $0.780 | $1.58 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will Warsh say "Echo of History" during July Press Conference?No | buy | 3 | $0.470 | $1.41 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?No | buy | 2.84 | $0.689 | $1.96 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?No | buy | 3.82 | $0.510 | $1.95 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?No | buy | 3.05 | $0.560 | $1.71 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?No | buy | 7.14 | $0.280 | $2 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 8.13 | $0.246 | $2 | Jul 24, 2026 |