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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alberta join the US? | No | 0.7 | $0.955 | $0.69 | +$0.02 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | sell | 273 | $0.690 | $188.37 | Jun 25, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 273 |
| $0.510 |
| $139.23 |
| Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 273 | $0.079 | $21.57 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 156 | $0.971 | $151.48 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Yes | sell | 215 | $0.140 | $30.1 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 314 | $0.140 | $43.96 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No | sell | 94 | $0.670 | $62.98 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No | sell | 141.7 | $0.670 | $94.94 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No | buy | 246 | $0.680 | $167.28 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 198 | $0.880 | $174.24 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 118 | $0.880 | $103.84 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | sell | 340 | $0.080 | $27.2 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 340 | $0.080 | $27.2 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes | buy | 62 | $0.190 | $11.78 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.110 | $0.11 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.260 | $3.9 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes | buy | 257 | $0.250 | $64.25 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 137.14 | $0.028 | $3.84 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | sell | 282.49 | $0.620 | $175.14 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | buy | 296 | $0.620 | $183.52 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 108 | $0.036 | $3.89 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 387 | $0.037 | $14.32 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 232 | $0.120 | $27.84 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 233 | $0.140 | $32.62 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 165 | $0.963 | $158.89 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 123 | $0.044 | $5.41 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 86 | $0.937 | $80.58 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 317 | $0.090 | $28.53 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 240 | $0.786 | $188.64 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 181 | $0.940 | $170.14 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?Yes | sell | 198 | $0.020 | $3.96 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?Yes | buy | 198 | $0.020 | $3.96 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.760 | $3.8 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 285 | $0.700 | $199.5 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?Yes | sell | 111 | $0.028 | $3.11 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?Yes | buy | 176 | $0.031 | $5.46 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 116 | $0.140 | $16.24 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 280 | $0.142 | $39.76 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 96 | $0.360 | $34.56 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 304 | $0.350 | $106.4 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 199 | $0.900 | $179.1 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 45.1 | $0.900 | $40.59 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 40 | $0.968 | $38.72 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | sell | 14 | $0.988 | $13.83 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 190 | $0.955 | $181.45 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by June 30?No | buy | 40 | $0.960 | $38.4 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 131 | $0.965 | $126.41 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 274 | $0.660 | $180.84 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 274 | $0.680 | $186.32 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30?Yes | buy | 382 | $0.040 | $15.28 | Jun 6, 2026 |