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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 181.75 | $0.171 | $146.31 | +$115.31 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 10:40PM-10:45PM ETUp | buy | 13.33 | $0.150 | $2 | 14d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 200.53 |
| $0.270 |
| $65.17 |
| +$11.03 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 158.46 | $0.170 | $7.13 | -$19.87 |
 Will Thomas Massie be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee? | Yes | 119.19 | $0.049 | $6.79 | +$0.92 |
 Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 56.25 | $0.089 | $6.67 | +$1.67 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 52.94 | $0.170 | $6.62 | -$2.38 |
| Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 877.45 | $0.014 | $6.58 | -$5.42 |
 Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | Yes | 20.83 | $0.480 | $6.56 | -$3.44 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? | Yes | 336.07 | $0.029 | $4.2 | -$5.6 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 62.5 | $0.048 | $2.22 | -$0.78 |
| Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 333.33 | $0.009 | $1.83 | -$1.17 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 11.11 | $0.270 | $1.61 | -$1.39 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 226.19 | $0.088 | $1.58 | -$18.42 |
 Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.192 | $1.05 | -$0.87 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? | Yes | 113.74 | $0.026 | $0.06 | -$2.94 |
| buy |
| 20 |
| $0.250 |
| $5 |
| 14d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 10:55PM-11:00PM ETUp | buy | 3.92 | $0.510 | $2 | 14d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 10:50PM-10:55PM ETUp | buy | 3.92 | $0.510 | $2 | 14d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 10:45PM-10:50PM ETUp | buy | 1.96 | $0.510 | $1 | 14d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 10:40PM-10:45PM ETUp | buy | 1.96 | $0.510 | $1 | 14d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 10:35PM-10:40PM ETUp | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | 14d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 3:45AM-4:00AM ETUp | buy | 9.8 | $0.510 | $5 | 14d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 3:30AM-3:45AM ETUp | buy | 9.8 | $0.510 | $5 | 14d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 3:15AM-3:30AM ETUp | buy | 9.8 | $0.510 | $5 | 14d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 3:00AM-3:15AM ETUp | buy | 9.8 | $0.510 | $5 | 14d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 2:45AM-3:00AM ETUp | buy | 9.8 | $0.510 | $5 | 14d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 2:30AM-2:45AM ETUp | buy | 9.8 | $0.510 | $5 | 14d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 2:15AM-2:30AM ETUp | buy | 9.8 | $0.510 | $5 | 14d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 2:00AM-2:15AM ETUp | buy | 9.8 | $0.510 | $5 | 14d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 1:45AM-2:00AM ETUp | buy | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | 14d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 1:30AM-1:45AM ETUp | buy | 9.8 | $0.510 | $5 | 14d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 1:15AM-1:30AM ETUp | buy | 9.8 | $0.510 | $5 | 14d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 1:00AM-1:15AM ETUp | buy | 9.8 | $0.510 | $5 | 14d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 12:45AM-1:00AM ETUp | buy | 9.8 | $0.510 | $5 | 14d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 12:30AM-12:45AM ETUp | buy | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | 14d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 12:15AM-12:30AM ETUp | buy | 9.8 | $0.510 | $5 | 14d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 12:00AM-12:15AM ETUp | buy | 9.8 | $0.510 | $5 | 14d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 11:45PM-12:00AM ETUp | buy | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | 14d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 11:30PM-11:45PM ETUp | buy | 9.8 | $0.510 | $5 | 14d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 10:30PM-10:45PM ETUp | buy | 20.83 | $0.480 | $10 | 14d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 10PM ETUp | sell | 30.18 | $0.940 | $28.37 | 14d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 9:25PM-9:30PM ETUp | buy | 50 | $0.020 | $1 | 14d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 9:25PM-9:30PM ETUp | buy | 33.33 | $0.030 | $1 | 14d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 9:25PM-9:30PM ETUp | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | 14d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 11:15PM-11:30PM ETUp | buy | 9.8 | $0.510 | $5 | 14d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 11:00PM-11:15PM ETUp | buy | 19.61 | $0.510 | $10 | 14d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 10:45PM-11:00PM ETUp | buy | 19.61 | $0.510 | $10 | 14d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 10:30PM-10:45PM ETUp | buy | 19.61 | $0.510 | $10 | 14d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 10:15PM-10:30PM ETUp | buy | 19.61 | $0.510 | $10 | 14d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 10:00PM-10:15PM ETUp | buy | 19.61 | $0.510 | $10 | 14d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 9:45PM-10:00PM ETUp | buy | 40 | $0.500 | $20 | 14d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 3AM ETUp | buy | 29.41 | $0.510 | $15 | 14d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 2AM ETUp | buy | 29.41 | $0.510 | $15 | 14d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 1AM ETUp | buy | 29.41 | $0.510 | $15 | 14d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 12AM ETUp | buy | 29.41 | $0.510 | $15 | 14d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 11PM ETUp | buy | 19.61 | $0.510 | $10 | 14d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 10PM ETUp | buy | 30.19 | $0.530 | $16 | 14d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 9:40PM-9:45PM ETUp | buy | 19.61 | $0.510 | $10 | 14d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 9:35PM-9:40PM ETUp | buy | 19.61 | $0.510 | $10 | 14d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 9:30PM-9:35PM ETUp | buy | 19.61 | $0.510 | $10 | 14d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 9:25PM-9:30PM ETUp | buy | 20 | $0.500 | $10 | 14d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 9:20PM-9:25PM ETUp | buy | 10 | $0.510 | $5.1 | 14d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 9:20PM-9:25PM ETUp | buy | 19.61 | $0.510 | $10 | 14d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 9:20PM-9:25PM ETUp | buy | 19.9 | $0.502 | $10 | 14d ago |