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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Alberta join the US? | No | 0.65 | $0.954 | $0.64 | +$0.02 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No | sell | 5 | $0.660 | $3.3 | Jun 24, 2026 |
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| No |
| 0.98 |
| $0.450 |
| $0.21 |
| -$0.23 |
| buy |
| 19 |
| $0.670 |
| $12.73 |
| Jun 24, 2026 |
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?Yes | buy | 39 | $0.160 | $6.24 | Jun 23, 2026 |
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | sell | 16 | $0.920 | $14.72 | Jun 23, 2026 |
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 16 | $0.920 | $14.72 | Jun 23, 2026 |
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 15 | $0.890 | $13.35 | Jun 21, 2026 |
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 15 | $0.890 | $13.35 | Jun 21, 2026 |
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.111 | $1.67 | Jun 20, 2026 |
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | sell | 69 | $0.080 | $5.52 | Jun 18, 2026 |
Cuban regime falls in 2026?No | sell | 16 | $0.840 | $13.44 | Jun 18, 2026 |
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 14 | $0.944 | $13.22 | Jun 17, 2026 |
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 19 | $0.700 | $13.3 | Jun 16, 2026 |
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 19 | $0.730 | $13.87 | Jun 15, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | sell | 81 | $0.120 | $9.72 | Jun 14, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 43 | $0.180 | $7.74 | Jun 14, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.540 | $8.1 | Jun 13, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 28 | $0.530 | $14.84 | Jun 13, 2026 |
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?No | buy | 22 | $0.985 | $21.67 | Jun 12, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 33 | $0.270 | $8.91 | Jun 11, 2026 |
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 25 | $0.953 | $23.83 | Jun 10, 2026 |
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 25 | $0.954 | $23.85 | Jun 10, 2026 |
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 28 | $0.780 | $21.84 | Jun 9, 2026 |
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?Yes | buy | 51 | $0.420 | $21.42 | Jun 9, 2026 |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 50 | $0.450 | $22.5 | Jun 9, 2026 |
Iran leadership change by June 30?No | sell | 5 | $0.960 | $4.8 | Jun 7, 2026 |
Iran leadership change by June 30?No | buy | 5 | $0.963 | $4.81 | Jun 7, 2026 |
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 22 | $0.964 | $21.21 | Jun 7, 2026 |
Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 22 | $0.954 | $20.99 | Jun 6, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 41 | $0.510 | $20.91 | Jun 5, 2026 |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 38 | $0.550 | $20.9 | Jun 4, 2026 |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | sell | 18 | $0.430 | $7.74 | May 30, 2026 |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | sell | 36.02 | $0.430 | $15.49 | May 30, 2026 |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 55 | $0.440 | $24.2 | May 29, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | sell | 32 | $0.760 | $24.32 | May 29, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | buy | 32 | $0.760 | $24.32 | May 29, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.590 | $4.72 | May 28, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 37 | $0.590 | $21.83 | May 28, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 37 | $0.600 | $22.2 | May 28, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 67 | $0.330 | $22.11 | May 27, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 67 | $0.373 | $24.97 | May 27, 2026 |
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?No | buy | 36 | $0.739 | $26.6 | May 24, 2026 |
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 35 | $0.978 | $34.23 | May 23, 2026 |
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?No | buy | 37 | $0.938 | $34.71 | May 23, 2026 |
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes | buy | 39 | $0.045 | $1.76 | May 21, 2026 |
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | sell | 8 | $0.700 | $5.6 | May 21, 2026 |
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | buy | 47 | $0.700 | $32.9 | May 21, 2026 |
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 41 | $0.945 | $38.75 | May 20, 2026 |
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 41 | $0.944 | $38.7 | May 20, 2026 |
US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | sell | 65 | $0.550 | $35.75 | May 19, 2026 |
US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 65 | $0.550 | $35.75 | May 19, 2026 |