Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? | Yes | 2.27 | $0.440 | $1.65 | +$0.65 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 |
| Yes |
| 4.76 |
| $0.210 |
| $0.66 |
| -$0.34 |
 Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 7.69 | $0.130 | $0.43 | -$0.57 |
 Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 4.55 | $0.220 | $0.29 | -$0.71 |
| sell |
| 4.25 |
| $0.910 |
| $3.87 |
| Dec 11, 2025 |
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3)Spirit | buy | 2.13 | $0.470 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | sell | 1.63 | $0.969 | $1.58 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3)Spirit | buy | 2.13 | $0.470 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | sell | 1.81 | $0.975 | $1.76 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | buy | 1.82 | $0.550 | $1 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?Yes | buy | 2.27 | $0.440 | $1 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Will Lando Norris finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?Yes | sell | 2.98 | $0.179 | $0.53 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?No | sell | 1.92 | $0.690 | $1.32 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?No | buy | 1.92 | $0.520 | $1 | Nov 10, 2025 |
 Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?No | buy | 1.69 | $0.590 | $1 | Sep 23, 2025 |
 Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 US Open?Yes | sell | 2.27 | $0.550 | $1.25 | Sep 6, 2025 |
| Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 US Open?Yes | sell | 2.77 | $0.440 | $1.22 | Sep 6, 2025 |
 Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Aug 13, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1 | Aug 13, 2025 |
 UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. ChimaevDu Plessis | buy | 2.94 | $0.340 | $1 | Aug 13, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 4.54 | $0.790 | $3.59 | Aug 13, 2025 |
 Will Vitality win the BLAST Bounty 2025 Season tournament?Yes | buy | 2.13 | $0.470 | $1 | Aug 8, 2025 |
 Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration in 2025?Yes | sell | 5.26 | $0.210 | $1.1 | Aug 8, 2025 |
| Will Lando Norris finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?Yes | buy | 2.99 | $0.670 | $2 | Jul 28, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?No | sell | 1.69 | $0.920 | $1.55 | Jul 25, 2025 |
 Ghislaine Maxwell accuses Trump of being a criminal?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Jul 24, 2025 |
 Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes | buy | 2.94 | $0.340 | $1 | Jul 24, 2025 |
| Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration in 2025?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Jul 20, 2025 |
 Andy Byron out as Astronomer CEO by next Friday?Yes | sell | 1.81 | $0.998 | $1.81 | Jul 20, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his AI speech on July 23?Yes | buy | 2.44 | $0.410 | $1 | Jul 19, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Inflation" during his AI speech on July 23?No | buy | 1.49 | $0.670 | $1 | Jul 19, 2025 |
 Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | buy | 10.98 | $0.091 | $1 | Jul 19, 2025 |
| Andy Byron out as Astronomer CEO by next Friday?Yes | buy | 1.82 | $0.550 | $1 | Jul 19, 2025 |
 Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Yes | buy | 2.56 | $0.390 | $1 | Jul 19, 2025 |
| Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 US Open?Yes | buy | 2.78 | $0.360 | $1 | Jul 19, 2025 |
| Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 US Open?Yes | buy | 2.27 | $0.440 | $1 | Jul 19, 2025 |
 UFC 318: Holloway vs. PoirierPoirier | buy | 2.17 | $0.460 | $1 | Jul 19, 2025 |
 Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 22.22 | $0.090 | $2 | Jul 19, 2025 |
 Will Jack Grealish sign with a new club during the transfer window?No | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | Jul 19, 2025 |
| Will Marc-André ter Stegen sign with a new club during the transfer window?Yes | buy | 2.04 | $0.490 | $1 | Jul 19, 2025 |
 Will Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 1.22 | $0.819 | $1 | Jul 19, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?No | buy | 1.69 | $0.590 | $1 | Jul 19, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.440 | $2 | Jul 19, 2025 |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Jul 19, 2025 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Jul 19, 2025 |