
Resolved Holloway on 20 Jul 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Holloway at 44.5%. Yes opened at 53% on 15 Jul 2025. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 15 Jul 2025 to 20 Jul 2025, the highest close was 55.5% on 20 Jul 2025 and the lowest 53% on 15 Jul 2025. $1.77M traded over the market's life.
277 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 30, 7:12 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 15 Jul 2025 – 20 Jul 2025, chart shows 45%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Jul 2025 | 53.0% |
| 20 Jul 2025 | 55.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| TrentaColdBrew | Poirier | 45K |
| pmkt1939 | Poirier | 43.15K |
| ApeCap | Poirier | 25.71K |
| eth4kjuly21 | Poirier | 13.76K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market on whether Max Holloway vs. Dustin Poirier will win their bout at UFC 318: Holloway vs Poirier 3, scheduled for July 19, 2025. If Max Holloway is declared the winner of this bout, this market will resolve to "Holloway". If Dustin Poirier is declared the winner of this bout, this market will resolve to "Poirier". If this fight is declared a draw, or if for any reason the match is not scored, postponed after August 1, 2025, or canceled, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be ESPN; however, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-318-holloway-vs-poirier-3
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