Latest trade
Jun 15, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 27, 5:47 AM UTC.
Analytics
kaifu-lodge has made $633.78 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-06-15 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Jun 15, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 27, 5:47 AM UTC.
$175.36 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 18 markets; 36.0% were buys. They run from Mar 23, 2026 UTC to Jun 15, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026? | Yes | 73 | $0.430 | $35.77 | +$4.38 |
 |
| Category | Realized PnL | Volume | Trades | Markets | Win rate | Position value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| uncategorized | +$159.44 | $159.44 | 2 | 1 | 100.0% | $0 |
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Consensys IPO by December 31 2026?Yes | sell | 194 | $0.240 | $46.56 | Jun 15, 2026 UTC |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-06-15 15:42 UTC
Polymarket public position response
2 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-27 05:47 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-27 05:47 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-06-15 15:42 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $3.42K and losing ones cost $1.18K across the latest 50 settled positions. 64% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $427.61 on “Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 1.5” (Under); the largest loss, $205.74 on “Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 1.5” (Over).
It first traded on 24 Jan 2026 and most recently on 15 Jun 2026, 133 days ago. It has traded 99 markets. Most of the volume is in uncategorized ($159.44). Its open positions are worth $62.17 across 2 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 30 |
| $0.580 |
| $26.4 |
| +$9.01 |
| sell |
| 122 |
| $0.240 |
| $29.28 |
| Jun 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?Yes | sell | 674 | $0.420 | $283.08 | Apr 27, 2026 UTC |
| Will Consensys IPO by December 31 2026?Yes | sell | 644 | $0.290 | $186.76 | Apr 21, 2026 UTC |
 Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 516 | $0.680 | $350.88 | Apr 21, 2026 UTC |
 Will Lovable be acquired before 2027?No | sell | 335 | $0.830 | $278.05 | Apr 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will Lovable be acquired before 2027?No | sell | 468 | $0.830 | $388.44 | Apr 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will Lovable be acquired before 2027?No | buy | 803 | $0.840 | $674.52 | Apr 13, 2026 UTC |
 Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal?Yes | buy | 867 | $0.440 | $381.48 | Apr 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Consensys IPO by December 31 2026?Yes | buy | 946 | $0.170 | $160.82 | Apr 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Consensys IPO by December 31 2026?Yes | buy | 14 | $0.170 | $2.38 | Apr 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 516 | $0.830 | $428.28 | Apr 12, 2026 UTC |
 Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 233 | $0.730 | $170.09 | Apr 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 911 | $0.730 | $665.03 | Apr 12, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?No | sell | 327 | $0.240 | $78.48 | Apr 11, 2026 UTC |
 Mistral AI IPO before 2027?Yes | sell | 289 | $0.160 | $46.24 | Apr 11, 2026 UTC |
| Mistral AI IPO before 2027?Yes | sell | 102 | $0.160 | $16.32 | Apr 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?No | sell | 226 | $0.270 | $61.02 | Apr 11, 2026 UTC |
 Will Strava’s market cap be between $3B and $4B at market close on IPO day?No | sell | 431 | $0.820 | $353.42 | Apr 11, 2026 UTC |
 Will Israel strike 2 countries in April 2026?Yes | sell | 613 | $0.420 | $257.46 | Apr 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.14K | $0.710 | $812.24 | Apr 10, 2026 UTC |
| Mistral AI IPO before 2027?Yes | buy | 391 | $0.130 | $50.83 | Apr 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?No | buy | 553 | $0.260 | $143.78 | Apr 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will Israel strike 2 countries in April 2026?Yes | buy | 613 | $0.400 | $245.2 | Apr 10, 2026 UTC |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 41 | $0.120 | $4.92 | Apr 9, 2026 UTC |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 616 | $0.120 | $73.92 | Apr 9, 2026 UTC |
 Will Elisa win the Legend Trade Series?No | sell | 265 | $0.800 | $212 | Apr 9, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elisa win the Legend Trade Series?No | sell | 899 | $0.800 | $719.2 | Apr 9, 2026 UTC |
| Will Strava’s market cap be between $3B and $4B at market close on IPO day?No | sell | 305 | $0.790 | $240.95 | Apr 9, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elisa win the Legend Trade Series?No | buy | 1.16K | $0.820 | $954.48 | Apr 7, 2026 UTC |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 290 | $0.110 | $31.9 | Apr 7, 2026 UTC |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 367 | $0.110 | $40.37 | Apr 7, 2026 UTC |
| Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?Yes | buy | 747 | $0.430 | $321.21 | Apr 7, 2026 UTC |
 Will "They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 5m?No | buy | 609 | $0.179 | $109.01 | Mar 29, 2026 UTC |
| Will Strava’s market cap be between $3B and $4B at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 736 | $0.890 | $655.04 | Mar 29, 2026 UTC |
 Will USD reach 1.6M Iranian rials by March 31?No | sell | 593 | $0.730 | $432.89 | Mar 26, 2026 UTC |
| Will USD reach 1.6M Iranian rials by March 31?No | sell | 6 | $0.720 | $4.32 | Mar 25, 2026 UTC |
 Will Olivia Rodrigo announce a new album by April 30?No | sell | 245 | $0.220 | $53.9 | Mar 25, 2026 UTC |
| Will Olivia Rodrigo announce a new album by April 30?No | sell | 518 | $0.220 | $113.96 | Mar 25, 2026 UTC |
| Will Olivia Rodrigo announce a new album by April 30?No | sell | 791 | $0.220 | $174.02 | Mar 25, 2026 UTC |
| Will Olivia Rodrigo announce a new album by April 30?No | sell | 844 | $0.220 | $185.68 | Mar 25, 2026 UTC |
| Will Olivia Rodrigo announce a new album by April 30?No | sell | 411 | $0.220 | $90.42 | Mar 25, 2026 UTC |
| Will Olivia Rodrigo announce a new album by April 30?No | buy | 2.81K | $0.220 | $617.98 | Mar 24, 2026 UTC |
 Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 23, 2026?Yes | sell | 80 | $0.290 | $23.2 | Mar 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 23, 2026?Yes | sell | 566 | $0.290 | $164.14 | Mar 24, 2026 UTC |
 Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?No | sell | 270 | $0.840 | $226.8 | Mar 24, 2026 UTC |
 Will Ethena dip to $0.08 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 190 | $0.930 | $176.7 | Mar 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will Ethena dip to $0.08 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 527 | $0.930 | $490.11 | Mar 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will Ethena dip to $0.08 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 245 | $0.650 | $159.25 | Mar 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will Ethena dip to $0.08 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 236 | $0.650 | $153.4 | Mar 23, 2026 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 4 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.