Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?No | sell | 176.12 | $0.621 | $109.33 | May 17, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 165.64 |
| $0.714 |
| $118.2 |
| May 17, 2026 |
 Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 96.77 | $0.330 | $31.93 | May 17, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $248 in May?No | sell | 384.61 | $0.633 | $243.3 | May 17, 2026 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?No | sell | 308.64 | $0.761 | $234.87 | May 17, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes | sell | 471.73 | $0.032 | $15.07 | May 17, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No | sell | 403.22 | $0.640 | $258.06 | May 17, 2026 |
 Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | sell | 769.84 | $0.338 | $260.52 | May 17, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 386.15 | $0.670 | $258.72 | May 17, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?No | sell | 403.22 | $0.676 | $272.4 | May 17, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 400 | $0.800 | $320 | May 17, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 93 | $0.180 | $16.74 | May 17, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No | sell | 312.5 | $0.940 | $293.75 | May 17, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | sell | 480.76 | $0.710 | $341.34 | May 17, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 425.45 | $0.900 | $382.91 | May 17, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 215.51 | $0.730 | $157.32 | May 17, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | sell | 435.3 | $0.944 | $410.71 | May 17, 2026 |
| Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 96.77 | $0.620 | $60 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $248 in May?No | buy | 384.62 | $0.650 | $250 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?No | buy | 403.23 | $0.620 | $250 | May 12, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No | buy | 403.23 | $0.620 | $250 | May 11, 2026 |
 Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?No | sell | 427.37 | $0.292 | $124.59 | May 10, 2026 |
| Will Greg Hull win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?Yes | buy | 165.64 | $0.755 | $125 | May 10, 2026 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 386.15 | $0.647 | $250 | May 9, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No | sell | 250 | $0.800 | $200 | May 7, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 53.76 | $0.510 | $27.42 | May 6, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 400 | $0.500 | $200 | May 6, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No | buy | 250 | $0.500 | $125 | May 4, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by May 31?Yes | sell | 169.09 | $0.870 | $147.11 | May 4, 2026 |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes | buy | 471.74 | $0.265 | $125 | May 4, 2026 |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 769.85 | $0.325 | $250 | May 3, 2026 |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?No | buy | 308.64 | $0.810 | $250 | May 2, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 480.77 | $0.520 | $250 | May 1, 2026 |
 U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?No | buy | 178.57 | $0.700 | $125 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?No | buy | 179.43 | $0.697 | $125 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?No | buy | 181.16 | $0.690 | $125 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?No | buy | 176.13 | $0.710 | $125 | Apr 30, 2026 |
 MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 396.82 | $0.980 | $388.88 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 215.52 | $0.580 | $125 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?Yes | buy | 490.61 | $0.510 | $250 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 183.83 | $0.806 | $148.19 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?No | sell | 90.9 | $0.916 | $83.27 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?No | buy | 5K | $0.001 | $5 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No | buy | 5K | $0.001 | $5 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?No | buy | 90.91 | $0.550 | $50 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by May 31?Yes | buy | 169.1 | $0.739 | $125 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 425.44 | $0.616 | $262.11 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 183.82 | $0.680 | $125 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 271.73 | $0.470 | $127.71 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?No | sell | 342.46 | $0.910 | $311.64 | Apr 24, 2026 |