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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alberta join the US? | No | 0.66 | $0.954 | $0.65 | +$0.02 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.034 | $1.36 | Jun 25, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 128 |
| $0.034 |
| $4.35 |
| Jun 25, 2026 |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026?No | sell | 56 | $0.810 | $45.36 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?No | buy | 56 | $0.820 | $45.92 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?No | buy | 34 | $0.956 | $32.5 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes | sell | 29 | $0.340 | $9.86 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?Yes | sell | 109 | $0.200 | $21.8 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?Yes | buy | 130 | $0.210 | $27.3 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 32 | $0.160 | $5.12 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 58 | $0.880 | $51.04 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 58 | $0.880 | $51.04 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 70 | $0.730 | $51.1 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 70 | $0.730 | $51.1 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 53 | $0.028 | $1.48 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 57 | $0.889 | $50.67 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 57 | $0.891 | $50.79 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | sell | 44 | $0.900 | $39.6 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 44 | $0.900 | $39.6 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | sell | 64 | $0.720 | $46.08 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?Yes | buy | 64 | $0.011 | $0.7 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | sell | 75 | $0.450 | $33.75 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 75 | $0.450 | $33.75 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 19 | $0.270 | $5.13 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 84 | $0.270 | $22.68 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | sell | 3 | $0.019 | $0.06 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | sell | 3 | $0.040 | $0.12 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | sell | 38 | $0.023 | $0.87 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 170 | $0.018 | $3.06 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | sell | 83 | $0.045 | $3.74 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | buy | 86 | $0.042 | $3.61 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | sell | 44 | $0.190 | $8.36 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 129 | $0.186 | $23.99 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 89 | $0.420 | $37.38 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 33 | $0.954 | $31.48 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 149 | $0.016 | $2.38 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 149 | $0.016 | $2.38 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | sell | 58 | $0.811 | $47.04 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 58 | $0.803 | $46.57 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 39 | $0.787 | $30.69 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 13 | $0.987 | $12.83 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 86 | $0.540 | $46.44 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.430 | $8.6 | May 31, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | buy | 5 | $0.958 | $4.79 | May 31, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.430 | $1.72 | May 30, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.025 | $1 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | sell | 30.34 | $0.959 | $29.1 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 48 | $0.958 | $45.98 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 65 | $0.570 | $37.05 | May 28, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 58 | $0.560 | $32.48 | May 27, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | buy | 67 | $0.720 | $48.24 | May 27, 2026 |