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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | sell | 1.02 | $0.952 | $0.97 | Mar 11, 2025 |
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| sell |
| 1.04 |
| $0.975 |
| $1.01 |
| Mar 11, 2025 |
Will Arsenal finish in 2nd place for the 2024-25 EPL season?Yes | sell | 1.21 | $0.860 | $1.04 | Mar 11, 2025 |
Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.980 | $1 | Feb 27, 2025 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $93000 on Feb 28?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.977 | $1 | Feb 27, 2025 |
Liverpool wins the Premier League?Yes | buy | 1.04 | $0.961 | $1 | Feb 27, 2025 |
Will Arsenal finish in 2nd place for the 2024-25 EPL season?Yes | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | Feb 27, 2025 |
Will o3-mini be better than DeepSeek before March?Yes | sell | 1.13 | $0.010 | $0.01 | Feb 27, 2025 |
Will the CDU/CSU be part of the next German government?Yes | sell | 1.06 | $0.988 | $1.05 | Feb 27, 2025 |
25 bps decrease in ECB interest rates after March 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 1.12 | $0.967 | $1.08 | Feb 27, 2025 |
Price of dozen eggs hits $5 before April?Yes | sell | 1.13 | $0.979 | $1.11 | Feb 27, 2025 |
Price of dozen eggs hits $5 before April?Yes | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Feb 2, 2025 |
Will Jason Kelce attend Super Bowl LIX?Yes | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Feb 2, 2025 |
Will o3-mini be better than DeepSeek before March?Yes | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Feb 2, 2025 |
25 bps decrease in ECB interest rates after March 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Feb 2, 2025 |
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.988 | $1 | Dec 26, 2024 |
Will Micheal Martin be the next Prime Minister of Ireland?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.981 | $1 | Dec 26, 2024 |
Will Alexander Lukashenko win the 2025 Belarus Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 1.05 | $0.948 | $1 | Dec 26, 2024 |
Will the CDU/CSU be part of the next German government?Yes | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Dec 26, 2024 |
Will Joe Biden attend presidential inauguration?Yes | buy | 1.05 | $0.956 | $1 | Dec 26, 2024 |
No Ethereum all time high in 2024?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.981 | $1 | Dec 26, 2024 |
Will Putin remain President of Russia through 2024?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | Dec 26, 2024 |
Will Liverpool lead the EPL in points at midway point?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.977 | $1 | Dec 26, 2024 |
Will Ja’Marr Chase be the top Fantasy Wide Receiver?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.985 | $1 | Dec 26, 2024 |
Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader?Yes | sell | 1.02 | $0.980 | $1 | Dec 26, 2024 |
Will the Green Bay Packers make the 2024-25 NFL Playoffs?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.994 | $1 | Dec 16, 2024 |
Will Jerome Powell say "good afternoon" during December FOMC Press Conference?Yes | buy | 1.03 | $0.971 | $1 | Dec 16, 2024 |
Will MicroStrategy purchase more Bitcoin in 2024?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | Dec 16, 2024 |
Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader?Yes | buy | 1.03 | $0.971 | $1 | Dec 16, 2024 |