Latest trade
Aug 23, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 27, 6:26 AM UTC.
Analytics
Misguided-Ordinary has made $403.14 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 28 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-08-23 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Aug 23, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 27, 6:26 AM UTC.
$82.11 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 31 markets; 66.0% were buys. They run from Aug 7, 2024 UTC to Aug 23, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? | No | 125.41 | $0.820 | $120.77 | +$17.93 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Ethereum Up or Down - August 23, 2PM ETUp | buy | 185.06 | $0.500 | $92.53 | Aug 23, 2026 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-08-23 19:11 UTC
Polymarket public position response
1 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-27 06:26 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-27 06:26 UTC
polymarket positions
29 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-08-23 19:11 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $1.88K and losing ones cost $557.42 across 28 settled positions. 42.9% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $498.82 on “Will Trump and Ahmed al-Sharaa shake hands for less than 2 seconds on November 10 2025?” (No); the largest loss, $530.37 on “Will Trump and Ahmed al-Sharaa shake hands for less than 2 seconds on November 10 2025?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 23 Aug 2026. It has traded 34 markets. Its open positions are worth $120.77 across 1 market.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 278.12 |
| $0.500 |
| $139.06 |
| Jul 17, 2026 UTC |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETDown | buy | 271.92 | $0.500 | $135.96 | Jul 12, 2026 UTC |
| Solana Up or Down - June 17, 12:45PM-1:00PM ETUp | buy | 239.72 | $0.500 | $119.93 | Jun 17, 2026 UTC |
| Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 8:00AM-12:00PM ETDown | buy | 244.06 | $0.500 | $122.03 | May 3, 2026 UTC |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 22, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETDown | buy | 227.34 | $0.500 | $113.67 | Apr 22, 2026 UTC |
| Solana Up or Down - March 29, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETDown | buy | 275.28 | $0.500 | $137.64 | Mar 29, 2026 UTC |
| Solana Up or Down - March 13, 12:00AM-4:00AM ETUp | buy | 3 | $0.500 | $1.5 | Mar 12, 2026 UTC |
| Solana Up or Down - March 13, 12:00AM-4:00AM ETUp | buy | 204.24 | $0.500 | $102.12 | Mar 12, 2026 UTC |
| Solana Up or Down - March 13, 12:00AM-4:00AM ETUp | buy | 259.24 | $0.500 | $129.62 | Mar 12, 2026 UTC |
| Solana Up or Down - March 13, 12:00AM-4:00AM ETUp | buy | 265.12 | $0.500 | $132.56 | Mar 12, 2026 UTC |
 Solana Up or Down - January 17, 7AM ETDown | buy | 201.76 | $0.510 | $102.9 | Jan 17, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 6AM ETUp | buy | 213.61 | $0.510 | $108.94 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
| Ethereum Up or Down - January 2, 6AM ETDown | buy | 150.57 | $0.510 | $76.79 | Jan 2, 2026 UTC |
| Ethereum Up or Down - December 24, 7AM ETUp | buy | 171.45 | $0.510 | $87.44 | Dec 24, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 3AM ETDown | buy | 126.82 | $0.510 | $64.68 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
 Will Trump and Ahmed al-Sharaa shake hands for less than 2 seconds on November 10 2025?Yes | sell | 1.11K | $0.020 | $22.64 | Nov 10, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump and Ahmed al-Sharaa shake hands for less than 2 seconds on November 10 2025?No | sell | 462.76 | $0.951 | $440.08 | Nov 10, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump and Ahmed al-Sharaa shake hands for less than 2 seconds on November 10 2025?No | sell | 8.59 | $0.951 | $8.17 | Nov 10, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump and Ahmed al-Sharaa shake hands for less than 2 seconds on November 10 2025?No | sell | 11 | $0.951 | $10.46 | Nov 10, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump and Ahmed al-Sharaa shake hands for less than 2 seconds on November 10 2025?No | sell | 23.81 | $0.951 | $22.64 | Nov 10, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump and Ahmed al-Sharaa shake hands for less than 2 seconds on November 10 2025?No | sell | 145.1 | $0.951 | $137.99 | Nov 10, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump and Ahmed al-Sharaa shake hands for less than 2 seconds on November 10 2025?No | sell | 158.53 | $0.951 | $150.76 | Nov 10, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump and Ahmed al-Sharaa shake hands for less than 2 seconds on November 10 2025?No | sell | 200 | $0.951 | $190.2 | Nov 10, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump and Ahmed al-Sharaa shake hands for less than 2 seconds on November 10 2025?No | sell | 44.12 | $0.951 | $41.96 | Nov 10, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump and Ahmed al-Sharaa shake hands for less than 2 seconds on November 10 2025?No | sell | 40 | $0.951 | $38.04 | Nov 10, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump and Ahmed al-Sharaa shake hands for less than 2 seconds on November 10 2025?No | sell | 5.88 | $0.951 | $5.59 | Nov 10, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump and Ahmed al-Sharaa shake hands for less than 2 seconds on November 10 2025?No | sell | 6.22 | $0.951 | $5.92 | Nov 10, 2025 UTC |
| Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 125.41 | $0.820 | $102.84 | Nov 2, 2025 UTC |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 8:00AM-12:00PM ETUp | buy | 99.63 | $0.516 | $51.39 | Oct 20, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:15AM-8:30AM ETDown | buy | 99.58 | $0.500 | $49.79 | Oct 18, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:00AM-8:15AM ETDown | buy | 100.25 | $0.512 | $51.32 | Oct 18, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 10AM ETUp | buy | 1.03K | $0.523 | $538.6 | Oct 18, 2025 UTC |
 Will US airdrop aid into Gaza?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Aug 9, 2025 UTC |
 Will the percentage of inactive ballots in the NYC Democratic Mayoral Primary be more than 16%?Yes | buy | 3.41K | $0.001 | $3.8 | Jul 10, 2025 UTC |
 Will Ashley Moody be appointed as the next Florida senator?Yes | sell | 11.12 | $0.982 | $10.92 | Jan 20, 2025 UTC |
| Will Ashley Moody be appointed as the next Florida senator?Yes | buy | 11.12 | $0.989 | $11 | Jan 20, 2025 UTC |
 Will there be 165,000,000-170,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 3.98K | $0.001 | $3.98 | Dec 4, 2024 UTC |
 GOP wins popular vote by 3-4%?No | sell | 15.01 | $0.998 | $14.98 | Nov 10, 2024 UTC |
| GOP wins popular vote by 3-4%?No | buy | 15.02 | $0.999 | $15 | Nov 10, 2024 UTC |
 Will J.B. Pritzker be D-nom for VP on Election Day?Yes | buy | 5.45K | $0.001 | $5.45 | Oct 19, 2024 UTC |
 Will AOC win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 5.16K | $0.001 | $5.16 | Sep 9, 2024 UTC |
 Will Bernie Sanders win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 3K | $0.001 | $3 | Sep 9, 2024 UTC |
 Will Chris Christie win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 3.84K | $0.001 | $3.84 | Aug 29, 2024 UTC |
 Fed rate cut by November 7?Yes | sell | 207.04 | $0.964 | $199.59 | Aug 7, 2024 UTC |
| Fed rate cut by November 7?Yes | buy | 207.04 | $0.966 | $200 | Aug 7, 2024 UTC |
 USA wins the most medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?Yes | sell | 223.6 | $0.998 | $223.15 | Aug 7, 2024 UTC |
| USA wins the most medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?Yes | buy | 223.6 | $0.999 | $223.38 | Aug 7, 2024 UTC |
 Will RFK Jr. win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?No | sell | 222.66 | $0.996 | $221.77 | Aug 7, 2024 UTC |
| Will RFK Jr. win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?No | buy | 222.67 | $0.997 | $222 | Aug 7, 2024 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 4 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.