Analytics
Resolved No on 17 Dec 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 40.5% on 24 Oct 2024. Before it settled, across the 55 daily closes on record from 24 Oct 2024 to 17 Dec 2024, the highest close was 40.5% on 24 Oct 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 10 Nov 2024. Its largest one-day move was 27 points down, to 14% on 25 Oct 2024. $4.58M traded over the market's life.
69 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 18, 10:23 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 55 points, 24 Oct 2024 – 17 Dec 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Oct 2024 | 40.5% |
| 17 Dec 2024 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 622.33K |
| Snoopy-Corridor | Yes | 5.81K |
| TommyTom | Yes | 5K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if there are between 165,000,000 (inclusive) and 170,000,000 (exclusive) votes cast in the 2024 U.S. Presidential election. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the total number of votes in the 2024 Presidential election according to uselectionatlas.org once their dataset includes the certified vote totals for all U.S. States and the District of Columbia. If a recount is initiated before certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is certified. If a recount occurs after uselectionatlas.org has published vote totals based on the final certifications, the recount will not be considered. If there are no outstanding recounts, and electionatlas.org has not published total vote numbers based on the state certified results by December 17, 2024, 12:00 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the total vote numbers from the United States Elections Project (electproject.org). If the United States Elections Project has not published certified vote totals, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/turnout-in-2024-presidential-election
| Yes |
| 2.23K |
| degenspartan | Yes | 2.1K |
| Fakaleidosthar | Yes | 1.87K |
| Elorionion | Yes | 1.81K |
| gettin.rich | Yes | 1.3K |
| Discr3d | Yes | 1K |
| Lezin | Yes | 1K |
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