Analytics
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Anthropic IPO before 2027?Yes | sell | 23 | $0.940 | $21.62 | 8d ago |
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| buy |
| 110.06 |
| $0.845 |
| $93 |
| Jun 12, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?No | buy | 45.07 | $0.954 | $43 | Jun 4, 2026 |
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?Yes | sell | 42.55 | $0.998 | $42.46 | Jun 4, 2026 |
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?Yes | buy | 42.55 | $0.940 | $40 | Jun 4, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?No | buy | 47.54 | $0.610 | $29 | May 27, 2026 |
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?Yes | sell | 24.24 | $0.900 | $21.82 | May 27, 2026 |
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?Yes | sell | 10.66 | $0.698 | $7.44 | May 27, 2026 |
Anthropic IPO before 2027?Yes | buy | 23 | $0.826 | $19 | May 22, 2026 |
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?Yes | sell | 27.6 | $0.700 | $19.32 | May 22, 2026 |
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?Yes | buy | 27.61 | $0.507 | $14 | May 20, 2026 |
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?Yes | buy | 52.17 | $0.460 | $24 | May 19, 2026 |
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes | sell | 15.95 | $0.970 | $15.47 | May 19, 2026 |
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 24.41 | $0.947 | $23.11 | May 19, 2026 |
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 23.68 | $0.760 | $18 | May 19, 2026 |
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No | buy | 16.74 | $0.956 | $16 | May 19, 2026 |
Will Gerry Hutch win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?No | sell | 16.71 | $0.872 | $14.57 | May 19, 2026 |
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?Yes | buy | 10.67 | $0.750 | $8 | May 11, 2026 |
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?Yes | buy | 24.24 | $0.660 | $16 | May 11, 2026 |
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?No | buy | 9.01 | $0.770 | $6.94 | May 4, 2026 |
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.033 | $3 | May 4, 2026 |
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes | buy | 15.96 | $0.940 | $15 | May 4, 2026 |
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?No | buy | 19.57 | $0.920 | $18 | Apr 30, 2026 |
Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.680 | $17 | Apr 30, 2026 |
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 16.35 | $0.999 | $16.33 | Apr 30, 2026 |
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 7.43 | $0.994 | $7.39 | Apr 30, 2026 |
Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?Yes | sell | 12.56 | $0.212 | $2.66 | Apr 30, 2026 |
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes | sell | 28.77 | $0.005 | $0.14 | Apr 30, 2026 |
Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?Yes | buy | 12.56 | $0.796 | $10 | Apr 16, 2026 |
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 16.36 | $0.978 | $16 | Apr 16, 2026 |
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 24.42 | $0.860 | $21 | Apr 16, 2026 |
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No | sell | 20.34 | $0.997 | $20.28 | Apr 16, 2026 |
Will Solana reach $150 in April?No | sell | 22.22 | $0.994 | $22.09 | Apr 16, 2026 |
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 7.44 | $0.968 | $7.2 | Apr 14, 2026 |
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 16, 2026?No | buy | 16.17 | $0.988 | $15.99 | Apr 14, 2026 |
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?Yes | sell | 22.82 | $0.410 | $9.36 | Apr 14, 2026 |
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?No | buy | 22.36 | $0.939 | $21 | Apr 8, 2026 |
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes | buy | 28.77 | $0.570 | $16.4 | Apr 8, 2026 |
Will Solana reach $150 in April?No | buy | 22.21 | $0.989 | $21.97 | Apr 8, 2026 |
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?Yes | buy | 22.83 | $0.920 | $21 | Apr 8, 2026 |
Will the Washington Capitals win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No | sell | 15.61 | $0.998 | $15.58 | Apr 8, 2026 |
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | sell | 54.69 | $0.510 | $27.92 | Apr 8, 2026 |
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | buy | 54.7 | $0.979 | $53.55 | Apr 2, 2026 |
Will Gerry Hutch win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?No | buy | 16.72 | $0.963 | $16.1 | Apr 2, 2026 |
Will Russia capture Rodynske by March 31?No | buy | 24.1 | $0.830 | $20 | Mar 21, 2026 |
Will the Detroit Pistons finish as the #1 seed in the 2025–2026 NBA Eastern Conference?Yes | buy | 27.91 | $0.824 | $23 | Mar 21, 2026 |
Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?Yes | buy | 21.51 | $0.930 | $20 | Mar 16, 2026 |
Will Galatasaray win the 2025–26 Champions League?No | buy | 1.58K | $0.993 | $1.57K | Mar 16, 2026 |
Will Loopscale launch a token by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 12.5 | $0.991 | $12.39 | Mar 16, 2026 |
Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?No | sell | 1.53K | $0.997 | $1.53K | Mar 16, 2026 |