Analytics
Resolved No on 22 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 27.5% on 20 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 20 May 2026 to 22 May 2026, the highest close was 48% on 21 May 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 22 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 48 points down, to 0.1% on 22 May 2026. $97.59K traded over the market's life.
117 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 23, 6:34 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 20 May 2026 – 22 May 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 May 2026 | 27.5% |
| 22 May 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| mooger | Yes | 2.08K |
| tinykat | Yes | 1.38K |
| traderabs88 | Yes | 1K |
| pierojoe | Yes | 971.85 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market on the outcome of the SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12.
Resolution source: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UfQHy4mVcBo
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/spacex-starship-flight-test-12
| peepeepooppoop | Yes | 892.13 |
| Solar Meteor E172 | Yes | 589.73 |
| iol | Yes | 415.31 |
| PascalA | Yes | 395.62 |
| Patricknovak | Yes | 389.4 |
| Our-Glut | Yes | 349.61 |
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