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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | No | 0.57 | $0.733 | $0.52 | +$0.1 |
 Will Alberta join the US? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No | sell | 46 | $0.650 | $29.9 | Jun 25, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 0.66 |
| $0.045 |
| $0.01 |
| -$0.02 |
| sell |
| 9 |
| $0.340 |
| $3.06 |
| Jun 25, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 19 | $0.025 | $0.48 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 63 | $0.420 | $26.46 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No | sell | 25 | $0.978 | $24.45 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 25 | $0.972 | $24.3 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | sell | 3.13 | $0.028 | $0.09 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | buy | 27 | $0.860 | $23.22 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 74 | $0.140 | $10.36 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 73 | $0.480 | $35.04 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 73 | $0.410 | $29.93 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 33 | $0.730 | $24.09 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 27 | $0.736 | $19.88 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 14 | $0.200 | $2.8 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 84 | $0.100 | $8.4 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 53 | $0.300 | $15.9 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 17.29 | $0.310 | $5.36 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 63 | $0.050 | $3.15 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?Yes | sell | 113 | $0.020 | $2.26 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?Yes | buy | 113 | $0.020 | $2.26 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?No | sell | 28 | $0.965 | $27.02 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?No | buy | 28 | $0.967 | $27.08 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 48 | $0.830 | $39.84 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 42 | $0.938 | $39.4 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 42 | $0.939 | $39.44 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 81 | $0.030 | $2.43 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 81 | $0.110 | $8.91 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No | sell | 62 | $0.750 | $46.5 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 2 | $0.720 | $1.44 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.620 | $24.8 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.610 | $24.4 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by June 30?Yes | sell | 2 | $0.048 | $0.1 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | sell | 1 | $0.969 | $0.97 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | sell | 6.58 | $0.045 | $0.3 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | buy | 35 | $0.045 | $1.58 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30?No | buy | 27 | $0.960 | $25.92 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | sell | 34 | $0.812 | $27.61 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 34 | $0.815 | $27.71 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 38 | $0.015 | $0.57 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | sell | 46 | $0.941 | $43.29 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 47 | $0.940 | $44.16 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 21 | $0.450 | $9.45 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30?No | sell | 25 | $0.962 | $24.05 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30?No | buy | 25 | $0.961 | $24.03 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30?Yes | sell | 28 | $0.043 | $1.2 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.045 | $1.35 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 32 | $0.013 | $0.42 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 51.22 | $0.550 | $28.17 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.570 | $4.56 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 39 | $0.490 | $19.11 | Jun 3, 2026 |