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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?No | buy | 29.35 | $0.046 | $1.35 | Jan 19, 2025 |
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| sell |
| 2 |
| $0.360 |
| $0.72 |
| Jan 19, 2025 |
Will another model be the top AI model on January 31?Yes | sell | 111.11 | $0.006 | $0.64 | Jan 19, 2025 |
Will the AfD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 21.92 | $0.260 | $5.7 | Jan 19, 2025 |
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?No | buy | 43.48 | $0.023 | $1 | Jan 19, 2025 |
Will FDP be part of the next German government?Yes | sell | 39.42 | $0.170 | $6.7 | Jan 19, 2025 |
Will the AfD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 21.04 | $0.280 | $5.89 | Jan 9, 2025 |
Ethereum above $3,500 on January 10?No | sell | 5.26 | $0.972 | $5.11 | Jan 9, 2025 |
Yoon arrested by Friday?Yes | sell | 7.69 | $0.100 | $0.77 | Jan 8, 2025 |
Will FDP be part of the next German government?Yes | buy | 39.42 | $0.190 | $7.49 | Jan 6, 2025 |
Greens win over 15% of vote in German election?Yes | buy | 20.83 | $0.360 | $7.5 | Jan 6, 2025 |
Will Trudeau resign by Friday?Yes | sell | 15.02 | $0.998 | $14.99 | Jan 6, 2025 |
Will Trudeau resign by Friday?Yes | buy | 15.03 | $0.760 | $11.42 | Jan 6, 2025 |
Will another model be the top AI model on January 31?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.009 | $1 | Jan 6, 2025 |
Yoon arrested by Friday?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Jan 6, 2025 |
Ethereum above $3,500 on January 10?No | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Jan 6, 2025 |
Will Trudeau resign by Friday?No | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Jan 6, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 350-374 times Jan 3-Jan 10?Yes | buy | 27.03 | $0.037 | $1 | Jan 6, 2025 |