Latest trade
Jul 12, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 23, 5:25 PM UTC.
Analytics
Frightened-Baseline is down $11.26 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 8 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-05-09 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Jul 12, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 23, 5:25 PM UTC.
$3.63 median trade
Its latest 24 trades covered 16 markets; 79.2% were buys. They run from Feb 21, 2026 UTC to Jul 12, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes | 66.67 | $0.105 | $3 | -$4 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.080 | $4 | Jul 12, 2026 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-05-09 03:52 UTC
Polymarket public position response
1 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-23 17:25 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
24 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-23 17:25 UTC
polymarket positions
10 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-05-09 03:52 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $27.85 and losing ones cost $12.73 across 8 settled positions. 50% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $16.3 on “Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?” (Yes); the largest loss, $5 on “Next Thai Prime Minister Chosen by March 31?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 12 Jul 2026. It has traded 16 markets. Its open positions are worth $3 across 1 market.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 9.35 |
| $0.535 |
| $5 |
| Jul 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?Yes | buy | 222.22 | $0.009 | $2 | May 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?Yes | buy | 192.31 | $0.026 | $5 | May 20, 2026 UTC |
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.080 | $2 | Mar 29, 2026 UTC |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.200 | $2 | Mar 27, 2026 UTC |
 Pakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by March 31?No | sell | 10.41 | $0.971 | $10.11 | Mar 27, 2026 UTC |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?No | sell | 12 | $0.001 | $0.01 | Mar 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?No | buy | 12 | $0.250 | $3 | Mar 17, 2026 UTC |
 Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $710b on March 31?Yes | sell | 21.73 | $0.150 | $3.26 | Mar 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $710b on March 31?Yes | buy | 21.74 | $0.230 | $5 | Mar 4, 2026 UTC |
 Will Germany strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 29.92 | $0.100 | $3 | Mar 2, 2026 UTC |
| Will Germany strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 20.2 | $0.099 | $2 | Mar 2, 2026 UTC |
| Will UK strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 6.45 | $0.310 | $2 | Mar 2, 2026 UTC |
| Will France strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 14.95 | $0.201 | $3 | Mar 2, 2026 UTC |
 US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No | buy | 9.09 | $0.550 | $5 | Mar 2, 2026 UTC |
 Next Thai Prime Minister Chosen by March 31?No | buy | 8.06 | $0.620 | $5 | Mar 1, 2026 UTC |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 21.73 | $0.980 | $21.3 | Feb 28, 2026 UTC |
 Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 37.5 | $0.080 | $3 | Feb 28, 2026 UTC |
 Will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?Yes | sell | 7.81 | $0.940 | $7.34 | Feb 28, 2026 UTC |
| Pakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by March 31?No | buy | 10.42 | $0.480 | $5 | Feb 27, 2026 UTC |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.180 | $3 | Feb 27, 2026 UTC |
| Will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?Yes | buy | 7.81 | $0.640 | $5 | Feb 22, 2026 UTC |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 21.74 | $0.230 | $5 | Feb 21, 2026 UTC |
2 of 4 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 4 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.