Latest trade
Apr 22, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 1:12 AM UTC.
Analytics
Crimson Kestrel 2958 is down $2.23 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Not enough settled positions to split gains from losses.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-23 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Apr 22, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 1:12 AM UTC.
$1.8 median trade
Its latest 15 trades covered 8 markets; 73.3% were buys. They run from Mar 11, 2026 UTC to Apr 22, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 26.68 | $0.345 | $22.66 | +$13.46 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 1.68 | $0.597 | $1 | Apr 22, 2026 UTC |
 |
Accepted Polymarket leaderboard snapshot
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-23 23:16 UTC
Polymarket public position response
1 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-24 01:12 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
15 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-24 01:12 UTC
polymarket positions
6 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-04-15 20:03 UTC
Rank, profit and volume come from Polymarket's leaderboard; positions, the chart and trades are read live. Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
The largest win was $1.92 on “Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during Address to the Nation?” (Yes).
It first traded on 11 Mar 2026 and most recently on 22 Apr 2026, 184 days ago. It has traded 8 markets. Its open positions are worth $22.66 across 1 market.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| sell |
| 5 |
| $0.680 |
| $3.4 |
| Apr 15, 2026 UTC |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | buy | 5 | $0.430 | $2.15 | Apr 7, 2026 UTC |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.456 | $2.28 | Apr 7, 2026 UTC |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?No | sell | 10 | $0.180 | $1.8 | Apr 4, 2026 UTC |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.120 | $1.2 | Apr 2, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during Address to the Nation?Yes | sell | 2.73 | $0.570 | $1.56 | Apr 2, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during Address to the Nation?Yes | sell | 5.26 | $0.570 | $3 | Apr 2, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during Address to the Nation?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.330 | $2.64 | Apr 2, 2026 UTC |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?Yes | buy | 2.14 | $0.719 | $1.54 | Mar 30, 2026 UTC |
 U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by March 31?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.180 | $3.6 | Mar 20, 2026 UTC |
 Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?No | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Mar 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.296 | $5.92 | Mar 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?No | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Mar 12, 2026 UTC |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Mar 11, 2026 UTC |
2 of 4 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 4 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.