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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | 6.5K | $0.965 | $6.41K | +$133.25 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?No | buy | 500 | $0.729 | $364.37 | 27d ago |
 |
| No |
| 2.5K |
| $0.920 |
| $2.48K |
| +$183.75 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | No | 1K | $0.789 | $695 | -$94 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 500 | $0.930 | $467.5 | +$2.5 |
| Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? | No | 500 | $0.729 | $412.5 | +$48.13 |
 Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31? | No | 400 | $0.760 | $354 | +$50 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | No | 400 | $0.620 | $314 | +$66 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | No | 330 | $0.830 | $282.15 | +$8.25 |
 Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | No | 400 | $0.608 | $282 | +$38.7 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | No | 265.71 | $0.963 | $265.58 | +$9.7 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 399.99 | $0.670 | $190 | -$78 |
 Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | No | 399.8 | $0.680 | $181.91 | -$89.95 |
 Will Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? | No | 147.44 | $0.930 | $146.56 | +$9.44 |
 Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day? | No | 108 | $0.930 | $107.73 | +$7.29 |
| Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026? | No | 300 | $0.729 | $97.5 | -$121.2 |
| buy |
| 300 |
| $0.729 |
| $218.7 |
| 27d ago |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?No | buy | 399.8 | $0.680 | $271.86 | 27d ago |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | buy | 400 | $0.620 | $248 | 27d ago |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?No | buy | 400 | $0.608 | $243.3 | 27d ago |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?No | buy | 1K | $0.789 | $789 | 27d ago |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 500 | $0.930 | $465 | 27d ago |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 600 | $0.985 | $591 | 27d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 96.61 | $0.963 | $93.04 | 27d ago |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.970 | $485 | 27d ago |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | buy | 330 | $0.830 | $273.9 | 27d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 361.26 | $0.670 | $242.04 | 27d ago |
 Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No | sell | 250 | $0.610 | $152.5 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.900 | $90 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.5K | $0.907 | $1.36K | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by August 15?No | buy | 500 | $0.890 | $445 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?No | buy | 500 | $0.968 | $484 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.979 | $244.82 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 US x Cuba economic deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 227 | $0.978 | $222.01 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?Yes | buy | 350 | $0.972 | $340.09 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.969 | $290.7 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Jacob Tsimerman win the 2026 Fields Medal?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.966 | $289.77 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?No | buy | 500 | $0.977 | $488.59 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.959 | $239.66 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 67.13 | $0.939 | $63.04 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?No | buy | 14.54 | $0.924 | $13.43 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.976 | $390.47 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?No | sell | 300 | $0.520 | $156 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 350 | $0.967 | $338.33 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 31?No | buy | 350 | $0.850 | $297.5 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?No | buy | 300 | $0.747 | $224.03 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will England score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 400 | $0.969 | $387.4 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.940 | $470 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Pokrovka by July 31?No | buy | 300 | $0.907 | $272.12 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 600 | $0.980 | $587.98 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by July 31?No | buy | 400 | $0.972 | $388.66 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No | buy | 500 | $0.940 | $470 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?No | buy | 200 | $0.775 | $155.08 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.810 | $81 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?No | buy | 400 | $0.630 | $252 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 109.97 | $0.890 | $97.87 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Will Coco Gauff be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?No | sell | 500 | $0.719 | $359.66 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.5K | $0.975 | $1.46K | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 350 | $0.967 | $338.32 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 350 | $0.968 | $338.8 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 350 | $0.944 | $330.4 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 350 | $0.974 | $340.9 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 400 | $0.929 | $371.6 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Will Grigor Dimitrov be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?No | buy | 400 | $0.971 | $388.4 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Will Taylor Fritz be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?No | buy | 499.99 | $0.936 | $467.99 | Jul 5, 2026 |